What Is Eagle Materials Inc (EXP) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Eagle Materials Inc at its current price of $205.07. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $232.78 (+13.5% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $1,106.44 (+439.5%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $2.37 (-98.8%). This +538.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Eagle Materials Inc's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About EXP?
13 of 13 models are currently active for EXP. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates EXP's intrinsic value at $75.86, implying -63.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does EXP Rank in Cement, Hydraulic?
Among 5 Cement, Hydraulic stocks, EXP ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.3 places EXP in the top tier.
Eagle Materials Inc operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is EXP a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns EXP a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Eagle Materials Inc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Eagle Materials Inc is rated at 9.3/10. This elite-tier score ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +538.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every EXP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across EXP's 13 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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