What Is James Hardie Industries plc. (JHX) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, James Hardie Industries plc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $16.15. Trading at its current price of $24.28, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -33.5%. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $32.06 (+32.0%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $5.09 (-79.1%). This +111.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about James Hardie Industries plc.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About JHX?
13 of 13 models are currently active for JHX. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates JHX's intrinsic value at $5.96, implying -75.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does JHX Rank in Concrete Products, Except Block & Brick?
Among 3 Concrete Products, Except Block & Brick stocks, JHX ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.7 signals below-average fundamentals.
James Hardie Industries plc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is JHX a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for JHX. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for James Hardie Industries plc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, James Hardie Industries plc. scores 2.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a weak rating that exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +111.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every JHX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across JHX's 13 active models, average confidence is 30%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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