What Is GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, GCM Grosvenor Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $11.37. Trading at $13.60, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -16.4%), as 9 of 13 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +167.7% (fair value: $36.41), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -96.6% ($0.46). The spread between these extremes — +264.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About GCMG?
13 of 13 models are currently active for GCMG. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GCMG's intrinsic value at $36.41, implying +167.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does GCMG Rank in Investment Advice?
Among 48 Investment Advice stocks, GCMG ranks #16 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places GCMG in the top tier.
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GCM Grosvenor Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is GCMG a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GCMG a score of 32/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for GCM Grosvenor Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, GCM Grosvenor Inc. scores 8.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +264.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every GCMG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across GCMG's 13 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →