What Is Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Northrop Grumman Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $349.34. Trading at its current price of $541.97, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 11 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -35.5%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $794.01 (+46.5%), versus Dynamic NAV at $130.40 (-75.9%). This +122.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About NOC?
13 of 13 models are currently active for NOC. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NOC's intrinsic value at $130.90, implying -75.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does NOC Rank in Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys?
Among 10 Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys stocks, NOC ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.4 places NOC in the top tier.
Northrop Grumman Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is NOC a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for NOC. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Northrop Grumman Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Northrop Grumman Corporation scores 9.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +122.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every NOC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across NOC's 13 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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