What Is Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Intuitive Machines, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $6.25, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $15.15. With 11 out of 12 models flagging downside (-58.7% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $23.09 (+52.4%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $1.05 (-93.1%). This +145.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Intuitive Machines, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, FTNN lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About LUNR?
12 of 13 models are currently active for LUNR. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates LUNR's intrinsic value at $6.70, implying -55.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does LUNR Rank in Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys?
Among 10 Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys stocks, LUNR ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.3 reflects mixed fundamentals.
Intuitive Machines, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is LUNR a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LUNR a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Intuitive Machines, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Intuitive Machines, Inc. is rated at 5.3/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +145.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every LUNR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across LUNR's 12 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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