Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) Fair Value 2026

LUNR · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 0 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (28/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) trades at $16.18. QOC: 5.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 28/100 (LOW). 0/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LUNR
Price
$16.18
Quality Score
5.0/10
Value Trap Risk
28/100
Models Active
0/13
Last Updated
Strength: 0 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 5.0/10 signals weak fundamentals

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give LUNR?

0 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($16.18)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside

All Models Active

All 0 models are displayed above.

What Is Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Intuitive Machines, Inc. currently lacks sufficient data across our 13-model framework. As more financial data is processed from SEC filings, our models will generate intrinsic value estimates.

What Do the Models Say About LUNR?

0 of 13 models are currently active for LUNR. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LUNR Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 92 Aerospace & Defense stocks, LUNR ranks #68 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

Within the Aerospace & Defense space, Intuitive Machines, Inc. competes in an environment where aftermarket revenue growth often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is LUNR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LUNR a score of 28/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

0 of 13 models are active for Intuitive Machines, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Intuitive Machines, Inc. is rated at 5.0/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LUNR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Intuitive Machines, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

ARXSArxis, Inc.QOC 5.0HONAHoneywell Aerospace Inc.QOC 4.9MRLNMerlin, Inc.QOC 5.1FJETStarfighters Space, Inc.QOC 4.8HOVRNew Horizon Aircraft Ltd.QOC 5.1HLEOHelio CorporationQOC 4.8PRZOParaZero Technologies Ltd.QOC 2.6AIRAAR Corp.QOC 8.1AIROAIRO Group Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.5BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: ARXS · HONA · MRLN · FJET · HOVR · HLEO · PRZO · AIR · AIRO · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to LUNR?

7 companies across all industries closest to LUNR’s Quality of Company score of 5.0/10.

GWHESS Tech, Inc.QOC 5.0STRZStarz Entertainment Corp.QOC 5.0COGTCogent Biosciences, Inc.QOC 5.0WLDSWearable Devices Ltd.QOC 5.0MTRMesa Royalty TrustQOC 5.0PMVPPMV Pharmaceuticals, Inc.QOC 5.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: GWH · STRZ · COGT · WLDS · MTR · PMVP · NVDA

Where Does LUNR Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

LUNR is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Intuitive Machines, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Intuitive Machines, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR). The Quality of Company score is 5.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LUNR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $16.18, 0 of 0 active models suggest LUNR may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Intuitive Machines, Inc.'s business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.0 mean for LUNR?

Intuitive Machines, Inc.'s QOC of 5.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LUNR?

CirclFi analyzes LUNR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 0 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is LUNR a value trap in 2026?

Intuitive Machines, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 28/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) a Quality of Company score of 5.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/LUNR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this LUNR valuation
  • Financial statements: Intuitive Machines, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001844452) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for LUNR as of ; valuations recomputed .