Innovative Aerosystems, Inc. (IA) Fair Value 2026

IA · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (23/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-09-15, Innovative Aerosystems, Inc. (IA) trades at $18.39, versus a $17.16 median fair value across its 9 active models — 6.7% below the current price. QOC: 9.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 23/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $6.55.

Key Facts

Ticker
IA
Price
$18.39
Quality Score
9.0/10
Value Trap Risk
23/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +58.5% upside with 58% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Innovative Aerosystems, Inc. (IA) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Innovative Aerosystems, Inc. (IA) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $17.16, within 6.7% of the current price of $18.39. Estimates range from $3.04 to $29.14. IA scores 9.0/10 on fundamental quality and 23/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.5% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,795 rated companies as of 2026-09-15. IA’s -6.7% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Aerospace & Defense sector median is -31.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Innovative Aerosystems, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give IA?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($18.39)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $6.55 -64.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $14.15 -23.1%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $29.14 +58.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $6.64 -63.9%
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What Is IA's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $3.04 to $29.14

CirclFi's 9 active models place Innovative Aerosystems, Inc. (IA) between $3.04 and $29.14 per share, a spread of 152% of the median. The median of that range — $17.16 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for IA, against a current price of $18.39.

Low · RCMH-DCFHigh · First Chicago
$3.04median $17.16$29.14
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRCMH-DCF$3.04
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$29.14
Model agreement4 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for IA. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on IA, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Innovative Aerosystems, Inc. (IA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Innovative Aerosystems, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $17.16. Trading at $18.39, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -6.7%), as 5 of 9 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $29.14 (+58.5%), while RCMH-DCF — the most conservative — estimates $3.04 (-83.5%). This +141.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Innovative Aerosystems, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About IA?

9 of 13 models are currently active for IA. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for IA is $17.16 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $6.55 on its own, implying -64.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does IA Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 92 Aerospace & Defense stocks, IA ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.0 places IA in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

Innovative Aerosystems, Inc.'s positioning within the Aerospace & Defense segment means that defense budget allocation plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including defense budget growth globally — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is IA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns IA a score of 23/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Innovative Aerosystems, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Innovative Aerosystems, Inc. earns a quality score of 9.0/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +141.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every IA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across IA's 9 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Innovative Aerosystems, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

OPXSOptex Systems Holdings, IncQOC 9.1DRSLeonardo DRS, Inc.QOC 9.0CWCurtiss-Wright CorporationQOC 9.2HEIHEICO CorporationQOC 8.9HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3WWDWoodward, Inc.QOC 8.9CAECAE Inc.QOC 7.8PLPlanet Labs PBCQOC 6.4HLEOHelio CorporationQOC 4.7BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4

Read investment analysis: OPXS · DRS · CW · HEI · HWM · WWD · CAE · PL · HLEO · BUKS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to IA?

6 companies across all industries closest to IA’s Quality of Company score of 9.0/10.

GTESGates Industrial Corporation Ltd.QOC 9.0QNSTQuinStreet, Inc.QOC 9.0GGenpact LimitedQOC 9.0CATCaterpillar Inc.QOC 9.0GASSStealthGas Inc.QOC 9.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: GTES · QNST · G · CAT · GASS · NVDA

Where Does IA Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

IA is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Innovative Aerosystems, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Innovative Aerosystems, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Innovative Aerosystems, Inc. (IA)'s intrinsic value at $17.16 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-09-15, ranging from $3.04 to $29.14. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $6.55 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is IA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $18.39, 4 of 9 active models suggest IA may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $17.16, within 6.7% of the current price of $18.39 — a consensus view that IA is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Innovative Aerosystems, Inc.'s business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.0 mean for IA?

Innovative Aerosystems, Inc.'s QOC of 9.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on IA?

CirclFi analyzes IA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on IA?

Of the 9 models currently active on IA, First Chicago is the most bullish at $29.14 per share, and RCMH-DCF is the most bearish at $3.04. CirclFi's published fair value for IA is the median of that range, $17.16, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 152% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is IA a value trap in 2026?

Innovative Aerosystems, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 23/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Innovative Aerosystems, Inc. (IA) has a median fair value of $17.16 — within 6.7% of the current price of $18.39 — as of 2026-09-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/IA/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this IA valuation
  • Financial statements: Innovative Aerosystems, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000836690) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for IA as of ; valuations recomputed .

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