Leonardo DRS, Inc. (DRS) Fair Value 2026

DRS · Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Leonardo DRS, Inc. (DRS) trades at $43.35, approximately 498% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $7.25. QOC: 9.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
DRS
Price
$43.35
Quality Score
9.8/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.8/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($43.35)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $7.25 -83.3%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $9.84 -77.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $13.73 -68.3%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $15.43 -64.4%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 9 additional models including EROIC Spread, Markov DDM, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 13 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is Leonardo DRS, Inc. (DRS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Leonardo DRS, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $16.14, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $43.35. With 12 out of 13 models flagging downside (-62.8% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $43.75 (+0.9%), versus Bayesian DCF at $7.25 (-83.3%). This +84.2% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About DRS?

13 of 13 models are currently active for DRS. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates DRS's intrinsic value at $7.25, implying -83.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DRS Rank in Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys?

Among 10 Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys stocks, DRS ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.8 places DRS in the top tier.

Leonardo DRS, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is DRS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DRS a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Leonardo DRS, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Leonardo DRS, Inc. is rated at 9.8/10. This elite-tier score ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +84.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DRS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DRS's 13 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Leonardo DRS, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys stocks with 13-model coverage

GRMNGarmin Ltd.QOC 9.7TDYTeledyne Technologies IncorporaQOC 9.5NOCNorthrop Grumman CorporationQOC 9.4CODACoda Octopus Group, Inc.QOC 8.6LHXL3Harris Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.3MINDMIND Technology, Inc.QOC 7.6LUNRIntuitive Machines, Inc.QOC 5.3NNNextNav Inc.QOC 5.1

Read investment analysis: GRMN · TDY · NOC · CODA · LHX

Frequently Asked Questions About Leonardo DRS, Inc.

What is Leonardo DRS, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Leonardo DRS, Inc. (DRS) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $7.25. The Quality of Company score is 9.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DRS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $43.35, 1 of 13 active models suggest DRS may be undervalued, while 12 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Leonardo DRS, Inc.'s business model in Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.8 mean for DRS?

Leonardo DRS, Inc.'s QOC of 9.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DRS?

CirclFi analyzes DRS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is DRS a value trap in 2026?

Leonardo DRS, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 13 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on DRS.

Unlock All 13 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access