Coda Octopus Group, Inc. (CODA) Fair Value 2026

CODA · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Coda Octopus Group, Inc. (CODA) trades at $10.43, versus a $9.29 median fair value across its 11 active models — 10.9% below the current price. QOC: 8.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $9.29.

Key Facts

Ticker
CODA
Price
$10.43
Quality Score
8.6/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +95.8% upside with 58% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Coda Octopus Group, Inc. (CODA) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Coda Octopus Group, Inc. (CODA) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $9.29, 10.9% below the current price of $10.43. Estimates range from $4.26 to $25.74. CODA scores 8.6/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CODA’s -10.9% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Aerospace & Defense sector median is -23.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Coda Octopus Group, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CODA?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.43)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $9.29 -10.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $5.85 -43.9%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $9.35 -10.3%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $20.42 +95.8%
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What Is CODA's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $4.26 to $25.74

CirclFi's 11 active models place Coda Octopus Group, Inc. (CODA) between $4.26 and $25.74 per share, a spread of 231% of the median. The median of that range — $9.29 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CODA, against a current price of $10.43.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$4.26median $9.29$25.74
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$4.26
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$25.74
Model agreement4 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CODA. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CODA, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Coda Octopus Group, Inc. (CODA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Coda Octopus Group, Inc. at its current price of $10.43. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $9.29 (-10.9% vs price), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $25.74 (+146.8%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $4.26 (-59.1%). This +205.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Coda Octopus Group, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About CODA?

11 of 13 models are currently active for CODA. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CODA is $9.29 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $9.29 on its own, implying -10.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CODA Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 92 Aerospace & Defense stocks, CODA ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places CODA in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

Within the Aerospace & Defense space, Coda Octopus Group, Inc. competes in an environment where program execution margin often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is CODA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CODA a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Coda Octopus Group, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Coda Octopus Group, Inc. is rated at 8.6/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +205.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CODA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CODA's 11 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Coda Octopus Group, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

NOCNorthrop Grumman CorporationQOC 8.6RTXRTX CorporationQOC 8.5GEGE AerospaceQOC 8.6AXONAxon Enterprise, Inc.QOC 8.5HXLHexcel CorporationQOC 8.7BWXTBWX Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.4BAThe Boeing CompanyQOC 7.4SPAISafe Pro Group Inc.QOC 5.6SPCXSpace Exploration Technologies Corp.QOC 4.0BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: NOC · RTX · GE · AXON · HXL · BWXT · BA · SPAI · SPCX · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CODA?

6 companies across all industries closest to CODA’s Quality of Company score of 8.6/10.

GLGlobe Life Inc.QOC 8.6HMYHarmony Gold Mining Company LimitedQOC 8.6MCOMoody's CorporationQOC 8.6FCBCFirst Community Bankshares, Inc.QOC 8.6DORMDorman Products, Inc.QOC 8.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: GL · HMY · MCO · FCBC · DORM · NVDA

Where Does CODA Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

CODA is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Coda Octopus Group, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Coda Octopus Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Coda Octopus Group, Inc. (CODA)'s intrinsic value at $9.29 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $4.26 to $25.74. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $9.29 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CODA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.43, 4 of 11 active models suggest CODA may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $9.29, 10.9% below the current price of $10.43 — a consensus view that CODA is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Coda Octopus Group, Inc.'s business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.6 mean for CODA?

Coda Octopus Group, Inc.'s QOC of 8.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CODA?

CirclFi analyzes CODA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CODA?

Of the 11 models currently active on CODA, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $25.74 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $4.26. CirclFi's published fair value for CODA is the median of that range, $9.29, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 231% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CODA a value trap in 2026?

Coda Octopus Group, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Coda Octopus Group, Inc. (CODA) has a median fair value of $9.29 — 10.9% below the current price of $10.43 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CODA/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CODA valuation
  • Financial statements: Coda Octopus Group, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001334325) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CODA as of ; valuations recomputed .

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