ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) Fair Value 2026

ESE · Scientific & Technical Instruments ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) trades at $281.54, versus a $88.88 median fair value across its 11 active models — 68.4% below the current price. QOC: 8.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $88.88.

Key Facts

Ticker
ESE
Price
$281.54
Quality Score
8.7/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.7/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $88.88, 68.4% below the current price of $281.54. Estimates range from $30.11 to $287.78. ESE scores 8.7/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. ESE’s -68.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Scientific & Technical Instruments sector median is -44.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy ESCO Technologies Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ESE?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($281.54)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $88.88 -68.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $32.07 -88.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $94.32 -66.5%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $206.81 -26.5%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 7 additional models including EROIC Spread, Markov DDM, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 11 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is ESE's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $30.11 to $287.78

CirclFi's 11 active models place ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) between $30.11 and $287.78 per share, a spread of 290% of the median. The median of that range — $88.88 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ESE, against a current price of $281.54.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$30.11median $88.88$287.78
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$30.11
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$287.78
Model agreement0 bullish · 10 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ESE. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ESE, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, ESCO Technologies Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $88.88, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $281.54. With 10 out of 11 models flagging downside (-68.4% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $287.78 (+2.2%), versus ML-RIV at $30.11 (-89.3%). This +91.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About ESE?

11 of 13 models are currently active for ESE. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ESE is $88.88 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $88.88 on its own, implying -68.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ESE Rank in Scientific & Technical Instruments?

Among 40 Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, ESE ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.7 places ESE in the top tier.

ESCO Technologies Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is ESE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ESE a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for ESCO Technologies Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, ESCO Technologies Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.7/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +91.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ESE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ESE's 11 active models, average confidence is 55%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy ESCO Technologies Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Scientific & Technical Instruments Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks with 13-model coverage

KEYSKeysight Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.9SOTKSono-Tek CorporationQOC 8.6TDYTeledyne Technologies IncorporatedQOC 8.9AATCAutoscope Technologies CorporationQOC 8.5GRMNGarmin Ltd.QOC 9.1MLABMesa Laboratories, Inc.QOC 8.5MKSIMKS Inc.QOC 8.0GNSSGenasys Inc.QOC 6.1SOBRSOBR Safe, Inc.QOC 4.1ACFNAcorn Energy, Inc.QOC 9.4BMIBadger Meter, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: KEYS · SOTK · TDY · AATC · GRMN · MLAB · MKSI · GNSS · SOBR · ACFN · BMI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ESE?

7 companies across all industries closest to ESE’s Quality of Company score of 8.7/10.

TOSTToast, Inc.QOC 8.7MDXGMiMedx Group, Inc.QOC 8.7DVDoubleVerify Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.7MMSIMerit Medical Systems, Inc.QOC 8.7FCAPFirst Capital, Inc.QOC 8.7MCYMercury General CorporationQOC 8.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: TOST · MDXG · DV · MMSI · FCAP · MCY · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About ESCO Technologies Inc.’s Valuation?

What is ESCO Technologies Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE)'s intrinsic value at $88.88 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $30.11 to $287.78. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $88.88 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ESE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $281.54, 1 of 11 active models suggest ESE may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $88.88, 68.4% below the current price of $281.54 — a consensus view that ESE is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits ESCO Technologies Inc.'s business model in Scientific & Technical Instruments.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.7 mean for ESE?

ESCO Technologies Inc.'s QOC of 8.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ESE?

CirclFi analyzes ESE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ESE?

Of the 11 models currently active on ESE, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $287.78 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $30.11. CirclFi's published fair value for ESE is the median of that range, $88.88, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 290% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ESE a value trap in 2026?

ESCO Technologies Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) has a median fair value of $88.88 — 68.4% below the current price of $281.54 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ESE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ESE valuation
  • Financial statements: ESCO Technologies Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000866706) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ESE as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 11 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on ESE.

Unlock All 11 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

7 models hidden for ESE Unlock All 11 — $39/mo