Sensata Technologies Holding plc (ST) Fair Value 2026

ST · Scientific & Technical Instruments ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (25/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Sensata Technologies Holding plc (ST) trades at $41.03, versus a $29.61 median fair value across its 10 active models — 27.8% below the current price. QOC: 7.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 25/100 (LOW). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $23.61.

Key Facts

Ticker
ST
Price
$41.03
Quality Score
7.1/10
Value Trap Risk
25/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: 10 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Sensata Technologies Holding plc (ST) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Sensata Technologies Holding plc (ST) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $29.61, 27.8% below the current price of $41.03. Estimates range from $5.82 to $111.70. ST scores 7.1/10 on fundamental quality and 25/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. ST’s -27.8% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Scientific & Technical Instruments sector median is -42.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Sensata Technologies Holding plc Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ST?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($41.03)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $23.61 -42.5%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $27.74 -32.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $10.77 -73.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $12.60 -69.3%
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What Is ST's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $5.82 to $111.70

CirclFi's 10 active models place Sensata Technologies Holding plc (ST) between $5.82 and $111.70 per share, a spread of 358% of the median. The median of that range — $29.61 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ST, against a current price of $41.03.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$5.82median $29.61$111.70
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$5.82
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$111.70
Model agreement3 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ST. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ST, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Sensata Technologies Holding plc (ST) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Sensata Technologies Holding plc at its current price of $41.03. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $29.61 (-27.8% vs price), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $111.70 (+172.2%), versus ML-RIV at $5.82 (-85.8%). This +258.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About ST?

10 of 13 models are currently active for ST. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ST is $29.61 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $23.61 on its own, implying -42.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ST Rank in Scientific & Technical Instruments?

Among 41 Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, ST ranks #20 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.1 indicates above-average quality.

Sensata Technologies Holding plc operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is ST a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ST a score of 25/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Sensata Technologies Holding plc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Sensata Technologies Holding plc is rated at 7.1/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +258.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ST valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ST's 10 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Sensata Technologies Holding plc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Scientific & Technical Instruments Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks with 13-model coverage

LGLThe LGL Group, Inc.QOC 7.1MINDMIND Technology, Inc.QOC 6.9COHRCoherent Corp.QOC 7.5LCTCLifeloc Technologies, Inc.QOC 6.8VPGVishay Precision Group, Inc.QOC 7.7ODYSOdysight.ai Inc.QOC 6.6SCNDScientific Industries, Inc.QOC 5.4ITRNIturan Location and Control Ltd.QOC 3.0MLABMesa Laboratories, Inc.QOC 8.5ACFNAcorn Energy, Inc.QOC 9.4BMIBadger Meter, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: LGL · MIND · COHR · LCTC · VPG · ODYS · SCND · ITRN · MLAB · ACFN · BMI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ST?

7 companies across all industries closest to ST’s Quality of Company score of 7.1/10.

KNFKnife River CorporationQOC 7.1FINWFinWise BancorpQOC 7.1AMTMAmentum Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.1KKRKKR & Co. Inc.QOC 7.1PHGKoninklijke Philips N.V.QOC 7.1KIDSOrthoPediatrics Corp.QOC 7.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: KNF · FINW · AMTM · KKR · PHG · KIDS · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Sensata Technologies Holding plc’s Valuation?

What is Sensata Technologies Holding plc's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Sensata Technologies Holding plc (ST)'s intrinsic value at $29.61 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $5.82 to $111.70. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $23.61 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ST overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $41.03, 3 of 10 active models suggest ST may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $29.61, 27.8% below the current price of $41.03 — a consensus view that ST is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Sensata Technologies Holding plc's business model in Scientific & Technical Instruments.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.1 mean for ST?

Sensata Technologies Holding plc's QOC of 7.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ST?

CirclFi analyzes ST with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ST?

Of the 10 models currently active on ST, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $111.70 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $5.82. CirclFi's published fair value for ST is the median of that range, $29.61, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 358% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ST a value trap in 2026?

Sensata Technologies Holding plc's Value Trap score is 25/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Sensata Technologies Holding plc (ST) has a median fair value of $29.61 — 27.8% below the current price of $41.03 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ST/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ST valuation
  • Financial statements: Sensata Technologies Holding plc 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001477294) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ST as of ; valuations recomputed .

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