What Is Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. at its current price of $38.44. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $30.87 (-19.7% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, EPV sees the most upside at +58.3% (fair value: $60.84), while Regime Cross is the most conservative at -71.9% ($10.81). The spread between these extremes — +130.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About RGR?
12 of 13 models are currently active for RGR. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates RGR's intrinsic value at $36.00, implying -6.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does RGR Rank in Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles)?
Among 5 Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles) stocks, RGR ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.2 places RGR in the top tier.
As a vehicle manufacturer, Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. operates in a sector where average transaction price (ATP) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating RGR should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is RGR a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RGR a score of 16/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. is rated at 8.2/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +130.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every RGR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across RGR's 12 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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