Redwire Corporation (RDW) Fair Value 2026

RDW · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 0 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (55/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Redwire Corporation (RDW) trades at $10.87. QOC: 6.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 55/100 (WARN). 0/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
RDW
Price
$10.87
Quality Score
6.7/10
Value Trap Risk
55/100
Models Active
0/13
Last Updated
Strength: 0 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Value Trap score of 55 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give RDW?

0 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.87)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside

All Models Active

All 0 models are displayed above.

What Is Redwire Corporation (RDW) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Redwire Corporation currently lacks sufficient data across our 13-model framework. As more financial data is processed from SEC filings, our models will generate intrinsic value estimates.

What Do the Models Say About RDW?

0 of 13 models are currently active for RDW. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RDW Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 94 Aerospace & Defense stocks, RDW ranks #44 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.7 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

As a aerospace and defense sector, Redwire Corporation operates in a sector where commercial deliveries is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating RDW should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is RDW a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RDW a score of 55/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

0 of 13 models are active for Redwire Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Redwire Corporation is rated at 6.7/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RDW valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Redwire Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

AVAVAeroVironment, Inc.QOC 6.8EHEHang Holdings LimitedQOC 6.5KRMNKarman Holdings Inc.QOC 6.9AIROAIRO Group Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.5RGRSturm, Ruger & Company, Inc.QOC 6.9RCATRed Cat Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.5HOVRNew Horizon Aircraft Ltd.QOC 5.1AADXApplied Aerospace & Defense, Inc.QOC 3.5TXTTextron Inc.QOC 8.3BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: AVAV · EH · KRMN · AIRO · RGR · RCAT · HOVR · AADX · TXT · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to RDW?

7 companies across all industries closest to RDW’s Quality of Company score of 6.7/10.

AXTIAXT, Inc.QOC 6.7ANGOAngioDynamics, Inc.QOC 6.7LAWCS Disco, Inc.QOC 6.7KTCCKey Tronic CorporationQOC 6.7LASRnLIGHT, Inc.QOC 6.7GAIAGaia, Inc.QOC 6.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: AXTI · ANGO · LAW · KTCC · LASR · GAIA · NVDA

Where Does RDW Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

RDW is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Redwire Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Redwire Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Redwire Corporation (RDW). The Quality of Company score is 6.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RDW overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.87, 0 of 0 active models suggest RDW may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Redwire Corporation's business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.7 mean for RDW?

Redwire Corporation's QOC of 6.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RDW?

CirclFi analyzes RDW with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 0 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is RDW a value trap in 2026?

Redwire Corporation's Value Trap score is 55/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Redwire Corporation (RDW) a Quality of Company score of 6.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/RDW/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this RDW valuation
  • Financial statements: Redwire Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001819810) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for RDW as of ; valuations recomputed .