TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI) Fair Value 2026

TBI · Staffing & Employment Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI) trades at $10.70, versus a $16.97 median fair value across its 6 active models — 58.6% above the current price. QOC: 6.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TBI
Price
$10.70
Quality Score
6.7/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +53.8% upside with 14% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (6/13) may reduce confidence

Is TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI) appears undervalued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $16.97, 58.6% above the current price of $10.70. Estimates range from $2.96 to $27.85. TBI scores 6.7/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. TBI’s +58.6% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy TrueBlue, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TBI?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.70)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $16.46 +53.8%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $14.57 +36.2%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $2.96 -72.4%
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What Is TBI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $2.96 to $27.85

CirclFi's 6 active models place TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI) between $2.96 and $27.85 per share, a spread of 147% of the median. The median of that range — $16.97 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for TBI, against a current price of $10.70.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Regime Cross
$2.96median $16.97$27.85
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$2.96
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$27.85
Model agreement5 bullish · 1 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for TBI. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on TBI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, TrueBlue, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $16.97. At a current market price of $10.70, 5 of 6 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +58.6%. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +160.3% (fair value: $27.85), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -72.4% ($2.96). The spread between these extremes — +232.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About TBI?

6 of 13 models are currently active for TBI. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for TBI is $16.97 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TBI Rank in Staffing & Employment Services?

Among 17 Staffing & Employment Services stocks, TBI ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.7 indicates above-average quality.

TrueBlue, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is TBI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TBI a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for TrueBlue, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, TrueBlue, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.7/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +232.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TBI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TBI's 6 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy TrueBlue, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Staffing & Employment Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Staffing & Employment Services stocks with 13-model coverage

MHHMastech Digital, Inc.QOC 7.1NSPInsperity, Inc.QOC 6.7RHIRobert Half Inc.QOC 7.7MANManpowerGroup Inc.QOC 6.4TNETTriNet Group, Inc.QOC 7.7STRRStar Equity Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.3GLXGGalaxy Payroll Group LimitedQOC 6.3CIRCCircle8 Group, Inc.QOC 5.0HQIHireQuest, Inc.QOC 8.1KFYKorn FerryQOC 8.6BBSIBarrett Business Services, Inc.QOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: MHH · NSP · RHI · MAN · TNET · STRR · GLXG · CIRC · HQI · KFY · BBSI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TBI?

7 companies across all industries closest to TBI’s Quality of Company score of 6.7/10.

VNOMViper Energy, Inc.QOC 6.7NAMMNamib MineralsQOC 6.7LEGNLegend Biotech CorporationQOC 6.7AVAHAveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc.QOC 6.7BCYCBicycle Therapeutics plcQOC 6.7CCELCryo-Cell International, Inc.QOC 6.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: VNOM · NAMM · LEGN · AVAH · BCYC · CCEL · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About TrueBlue, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is TrueBlue, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI)'s intrinsic value at $16.97 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $2.96 to $27.85. The Quality of Company score is 6.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TBI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.70, 5 of 6 active models suggest TBI may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $16.97, 58.6% above the current price of $10.70 — a consensus view that TBI is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits TrueBlue, Inc.'s business model in Staffing & Employment Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.7 mean for TBI?

TrueBlue, Inc.'s QOC of 6.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TBI?

CirclFi analyzes TBI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on TBI?

Of the 6 models currently active on TBI, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $27.85 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $2.96. CirclFi's published fair value for TBI is the median of that range, $16.97, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 147% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is TBI a value trap in 2026?

TrueBlue, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI) has a median fair value of $16.97 — 58.6% above the current price of $10.70 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TBI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TBI valuation
  • Financial statements: TrueBlue, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000768899) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for TBI as of ; valuations recomputed .

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