TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI) Fair Value 2026

TBI · Services-Help Supply Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (9/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI) trades at $8.10, approximately 34% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $12.25. QOC: 6.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 9/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TBI
Price
$8.10
Quality Score
6.4/10
Value Trap Risk
9/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +109.3% upside with 63% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI) appears undervalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $11.04, 36.4% above the current price of $8.10. Estimates range from $6.07 to $25.81. TBI scores 6.4/10 on fundamental quality and 9/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy TrueBlue, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($8.10)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $12.25 +51.3%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $16.94 +109.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $11.24 +38.8%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $9.34 +15.4%

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What Is TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, TrueBlue, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $12.24. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $8.10 (implied upside of +51.2%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 7 of 10 bullish models. Notably, EROIC sees the most upside at +218.9% (fair value: $25.81), while FTNN is the most conservative at -25.0% ($6.07). The spread between these extremes — +243.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About TBI?

10 of 13 models are currently active for TBI. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TBI's intrinsic value at $12.25, implying +51.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TBI Rank in Services-Help Supply Services?

Among 17 Services-Help Supply Services stocks, TBI ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.

TrueBlue, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is TBI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TBI a score of 9/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for TrueBlue, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, TrueBlue, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.4/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +243.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TBI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TBI's 10 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy TrueBlue, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Help Supply Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Help Supply Services stocks with 13-model coverage

HQIHireQuest, Inc.QOC 9.2RCMTRCM Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.0KFRCKforce, Inc.QOC 8.3RHIRobert Half Inc.QOC 7.7MANManpowerGroupQOC 7.5NSPInsperity, Inc.QOC 7.4CCRNCross Country Healthcare, Inc.QOC 7.3BBSIBarrett Business Services, Inc.QOC 6.9

Read investment analysis: HQI · RCMT · KFRC · RHI · MAN

Frequently Asked Questions About TrueBlue, Inc.

What is TrueBlue, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $12.25. The Quality of Company score is 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TBI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $8.10, 7 of 10 active models suggest TBI may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $11.04, 36.4% above the current price of $8.10 — a consensus view that TBI is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits TrueBlue, Inc.'s business model in Services-Help Supply Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.4 mean for TBI?

TrueBlue, Inc.'s QOC of 6.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TBI?

CirclFi analyzes TBI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is TBI a value trap in 2026?

TrueBlue, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 9/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI) has a median fair value of $11.04 — 36.4% above the current price of $8.10 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TBI/ · Methodology

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