GE Aerospace (GE) Fair Value 2026

GE · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (5/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, GE Aerospace (GE) trades at $342.73, versus a $133.49 median fair value across its 10 active models — 61.1% below the current price. QOC: 8.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 5/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $83.90.

Key Facts

Ticker
GE
Price
$342.73
Quality Score
8.6/10
Value Trap Risk
5/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.6/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is GE Aerospace (GE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, GE Aerospace (GE) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $133.49, 61.1% below the current price of $342.73. Estimates range from $37.11 to $350.59. GE scores 8.6/10 on fundamental quality and 5/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. GE’s -61.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Aerospace & Defense sector median is -23.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy GE Aerospace Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GE?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($342.73)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $83.90 -75.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $37.11 -89.2%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $118.40 -65.5%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $223.45 -34.8%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 6 additional models including EROIC Spread, Markov DDM, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 10 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is GE's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $37.11 to $350.59

CirclFi's 10 active models place GE Aerospace (GE) between $37.11 and $350.59 per share, a spread of 235% of the median. The median of that range — $133.49 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for GE, against a current price of $342.73.

Low · EPVHigh · Regime Cross
$37.11median $133.49$350.59
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$37.11
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$350.59
Model agreement0 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for GE. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on GE, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is GE Aerospace (GE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, GE Aerospace's intrinsic value is estimated at $133.49. Trading at its current price of $342.73, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 10 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -61.1%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $350.59 (+2.3%), versus EPV at $37.11 (-89.2%). This +91.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About GE?

10 of 13 models are currently active for GE. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for GE is $133.49 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $83.90 on its own, implying -75.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GE Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 92 Aerospace & Defense stocks, GE ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places GE in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

The Aerospace & Defense sector introduces analytical considerations specific to aerospace company businesses. For GE Aerospace, metrics like program execution margin provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is GE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GE a score of 5/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for GE Aerospace. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, GE Aerospace scores 8.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +91.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GE's 10 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy GE Aerospace Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

HXLHexcel CorporationQOC 8.7NOCNorthrop Grumman CorporationQOC 8.6TDGTransDigm Group IncorporatedQOC 8.7CODACoda Octopus Group, Inc.QOC 8.6HEIHEICO CorporationQOC 8.9RTXRTX CorporationQOC 8.5KTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.QOC 7.4SATLSatellogic Inc.QOC 5.9BLISNAPC Defense IncQOC 4.0BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: HXL · NOC · TDG · CODA · HEI · RTX · KTOS · SATL · BLIS · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GE?

7 companies across all industries closest to GE’s Quality of Company score of 8.6/10.

VICIVICI Properties Inc.QOC 8.6TMUST-Mobile US, Inc.QOC 8.6EGPEastGroup Properties, Inc.QOC 8.6BMABanco Macro S.A.QOC 8.6IDTIDT CorporationQOC 8.6RDVTRed Violet, Inc.QOC 8.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: VICI · TMUS · EGP · BMA · IDT · RDVT · NVDA

Where Does GE Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

GE is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About GE Aerospace’s Valuation?

What is GE Aerospace's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts GE Aerospace (GE)'s intrinsic value at $133.49 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $37.11 to $350.59. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $83.90 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $342.73, 1 of 10 active models suggest GE may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $133.49, 61.1% below the current price of $342.73 — a consensus view that GE is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits GE Aerospace's business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.6 mean for GE?

GE Aerospace's QOC of 8.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GE?

CirclFi analyzes GE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on GE?

Of the 10 models currently active on GE, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $350.59 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $37.11. CirclFi's published fair value for GE is the median of that range, $133.49, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 235% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is GE a value trap in 2026?

GE Aerospace's Value Trap score is 5/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, GE Aerospace (GE) has a median fair value of $133.49 — 61.1% below the current price of $342.73 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GE valuation
  • Financial statements: GE Aerospace 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000040545) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GE as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 10 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on GE.

Unlock All 10 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

6 models hidden for GE Unlock All 10 — $39/mo