GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) Fair Value 2026

GEV · Specialty Industrial Machinery ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) trades at $953.83, versus a $273.87 median fair value across its 9 active models — 71.3% below the current price. QOC: 8.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $348.00.

Key Facts

Ticker
GEV
Price
$953.83
Quality Score
8.6/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.6/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $273.87, 71.3% below the current price of $953.83. Estimates range from $99.88 to $710.19. GEV scores 8.6/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. GEV’s -71.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Industrial Machinery sector median is -47.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy GE Vernova Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GEV?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($953.83)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $348.00 -63.5%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $273.87 -71.3%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $148.00 -84.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $710.19 -25.5%
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What Is GEV's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $99.88 to $710.19

CirclFi's 9 active models place GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) between $99.88 and $710.19 per share, a spread of 223% of the median. The median of that range — $273.87 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for GEV, against a current price of $953.83.

Low · EROICHigh · Markov DDM
$99.88median $273.87$710.19
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$99.88
Most bullish modelMarkov DDM$710.19
Model agreement0 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for GEV. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on GEV, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, GE Vernova Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $273.87. Trading at its current price of $953.83, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 9 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -71.3%. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at -25.5% (fair value: $710.19), while EROIC is the most conservative at -89.5% ($99.88). The spread between these extremes — +64.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About GEV?

9 of 13 models are currently active for GEV. All 9 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for GEV is $273.87 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $348.00 on its own, implying -63.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GEV Rank in Specialty Industrial Machinery?

Among 84 Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, GEV ranks #26 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places GEV in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks →

The Specialty Industrial Machinery sector introduces analytical considerations specific to manufacturing company businesses. For GE Vernova Inc., metrics like working capital efficiency provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is GEV a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GEV a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for GE Vernova Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, GE Vernova Inc. earns a quality score of 8.6/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +64.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GEV valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GEV's 9 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy GE Vernova Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks with 13-model coverage

SXIStandex International CorporationQOC 8.6FELEFranklin Electric Co., Inc.QOC 8.5CSWCSW Industrials, Inc.QOC 8.6IEXIDEX CorporationQOC 8.5ITWIllinois Tool Works Inc.QOC 8.7EMREmerson Electric Co.QOC 8.4SYMSymbotic Inc.QOC 7.3SPPLSimpple Ltd.QOC 4.7ITTITT Inc.QOC 9.3EPACEnerpac Tool Group Corp.QOC 9.4WTSWatts Water Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: SXI · FELE · CSW · IEX · ITW · EMR · SYM · SPPL · ITT · EPAC · WTS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GEV?

7 companies across all industries closest to GEV’s Quality of Company score of 8.6/10.

SPOKSpok Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.6ESIElement Solutions IncQOC 8.6NTWKNetSol Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.6CNSCohen & Steers, Inc.QOC 8.6EPRTEssential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.QOC 8.6PGNYProgyny, Inc.QOC 8.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SPOK · ESI · NTWK · CNS · EPRT · PGNY · NVDA

Where Does GEV Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Industrial Machinery Rankings?

GEV is ranked against every other Specialty Industrial Machinery stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About GE Vernova Inc.’s Valuation?

What is GE Vernova Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts GE Vernova Inc. (GEV)'s intrinsic value at $273.87 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $99.88 to $710.19. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $348.00 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GEV overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $953.83, 0 of 9 active models suggest GEV may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $273.87, 71.3% below the current price of $953.83 — a consensus view that GEV is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits GE Vernova Inc.'s business model in Specialty Industrial Machinery.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.6 mean for GEV?

GE Vernova Inc.'s QOC of 8.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GEV?

CirclFi analyzes GEV with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on GEV?

Of the 9 models currently active on GEV, Markov DDM is the most bullish at $710.19 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $99.88. CirclFi's published fair value for GEV is the median of that range, $273.87, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 223% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is GEV a value trap in 2026?

GE Vernova Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) has a median fair value of $273.87 — 71.3% below the current price of $953.83 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GEV/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GEV valuation
  • Financial statements: GE Vernova Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001996810) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GEV as of ; valuations recomputed .

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