What Is NextNav Inc. (NN) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, NextNav Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $9.90. Trading at its current price of $15.44, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 7 of 9 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -35.9%. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $38.79 (+151.2%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $0.01 (-99.9%). This +251.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about NextNav Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV, EROIC, Markov DDM, FTNN lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About NN?
9 of 13 models are currently active for NN. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NN's intrinsic value at $4.46, implying -71.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does NN Rank in Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys?
Among 10 Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys stocks, NN ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.1 reflects mixed fundamentals.
NextNav Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is NN a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NN a score of 43/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
9 of 13 models are active for NextNav Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, NextNav Inc. earns a quality score of 5.1/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency. Our Value Trap detector shows moderate caution signals worth monitoring.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +251.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every NN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across NN's 9 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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