L3Harris Technologies, Inc. (LHX) Fair Value 2026

LHX · Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, L3Harris Technologies, Inc. (LHX) trades at $288.71, approximately 2% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $295.80. QOC: 8.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LHX
Price
$288.71
Quality Score
8.3/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +2.5% upside with 65% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($288.71)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$295.80 +2.5%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$108.26 -62.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$219.51 -24.0%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$263.85 -8.6%

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What Is L3Harris Technologies, Inc. (LHX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, L3Harris Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $260.15. Trading at $288.71, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -9.9%), as 8 of 12 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $739.74 (+156.2%), versus EROIC at $75.96 (-73.7%). This +229.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About LHX?

12 of 13 models are currently active for LHX. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates LHX's intrinsic value at $295.80, implying +2.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LHX Rank in Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys?

Among 10 Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys stocks, LHX ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places LHX in the top tier.

L3Harris Technologies, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is LHX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LHX a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for L3Harris Technologies, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, L3Harris Technologies, Inc. earns a quality score of 8.3/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +229.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LHX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LHX's 12 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy L3Harris Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

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Frequently Asked Questions About L3Harris Technologies, Inc.

What is L3Harris Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, L3Harris Technologies, Inc. (LHX) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $295.80. The Quality of Company score is 8.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LHX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $288.71, 3 of 12 active models suggest LHX may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits L3Harris Technologies, Inc.'s business model in Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.3 mean for LHX?

L3Harris Technologies, Inc.'s QOC of 8.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LHX?

CirclFi analyzes LHX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is LHX a value trap in 2026?

L3Harris Technologies, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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