COPT Defense Properties (CDP) Fair Value 2026

CDP · Real Estate Investment Trusts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, COPT Defense Properties (CDP) trades at $36.55, approximately 55% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $23.63. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CDP
Price
$36.55
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: 13 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($36.55)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$23.63 -35.3%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$23.71 -35.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$23.58 -35.5%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$5.40 -85.2%

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What Is COPT Defense Properties (CDP) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, COPT Defense Properties's intrinsic value is estimated at $21.90, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $36.55. With 12 out of 13 models flagging downside (-40.1% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $39.25 (+7.4%), versus Dynamic NAV at $1.42 (-96.1%). This +103.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About CDP?

13 of 13 models are currently active for CDP. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CDP's intrinsic value at $23.63, implying -35.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CDP Rank in Real Estate Investment Trusts?

Among 190 Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks, CDP ranks #62 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks →

Within the Real Estate Investment Trusts space, COPT Defense Properties competes in an environment where occupancy rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is CDP a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CDP a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for COPT Defense Properties. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, COPT Defense Properties's fundamental quality profile registers 7.4/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +103.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CDP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CDP's 13 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy COPT Defense Properties Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CUBE · EGP · SELF · APLE · EPRT

See all Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About COPT Defense Properties

What is COPT Defense Properties's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, COPT Defense Properties (CDP) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $23.63. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CDP overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $36.55, 1 of 13 active models suggest CDP may be undervalued, while 12 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits COPT Defense Properties's business model in Real Estate Investment Trusts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for CDP?

COPT Defense Properties's QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CDP?

CirclFi analyzes CDP with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CDP a value trap in 2026?

COPT Defense Properties's Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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