The Boeing Company (BA) Fair Value 2026

BA · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, The Boeing Company (BA) trades at $209.82, versus a $160.17 median fair value across its 6 active models — 23.7% below the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BA
Price
$209.82
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +32.2% upside with 60% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is The Boeing Company (BA) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, The Boeing Company (BA) appears overvalued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $160.17, 23.7% below the current price of $209.82. Estimates range from $79.71 to $277.37. BA scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. BA’s -23.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Aerospace & Defense sector median is -32.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy The Boeing Company Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BA?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($209.82)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $164.28 -21.7%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $277.37 +32.2%
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $166.09 -20.8%
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What Is BA's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $79.71 to $277.37

CirclFi's 6 active models place The Boeing Company (BA) between $79.71 and $277.37 per share, a spread of 123% of the median. The median of that range — $160.17 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for BA, against a current price of $209.82.

Low · Sentiment SOTPHigh · First Chicago
$79.71median $160.17$277.37
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelSentiment SOTP$79.71
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$277.37
Model agreement1 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for BA. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on BA, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is The Boeing Company (BA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, The Boeing Company's intrinsic value is estimated at $160.17, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $209.82. With 5 out of 6 models flagging downside (-23.7% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $277.37 (+32.2%), versus Sentiment SOTP at $79.71 (-62.0%). This +94.2% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About BA?

6 of 13 models are currently active for BA. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for BA is $160.17 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BA Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 94 Aerospace & Defense stocks, BA ranks #36 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

As a aerospace company, The Boeing Company operates in a sector where defense budget allocation is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating BA should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is BA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BA a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for The Boeing Company. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, The Boeing Company's fundamental quality profile registers 7.4/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +94.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BA's 6 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy The Boeing Company Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

NPKNational Presto Industries, Inc.QOC 7.4VSECVSE CorporationQOC 7.3KTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.QOC 7.4MRCYMercury Systems, Inc.QOC 7.2LOARLoar Holdings Inc.QOC 7.6RKLBRocket Lab CorporationQOC 7.0AIRIAir Industries GroupQOC 5.8SPCXSpace Exploration Technologies Corp.QOC 4.0NOCNorthrop Grumman CorporationQOC 8.6BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: NPK · VSEC · KTOS · MRCY · LOAR · RKLB · AIRI · SPCX · NOC · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BA?

7 companies across all industries closest to BA’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

KDKyndryl Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.4APTAlpha Pro Tech, Ltd.QOC 7.4BPBP p.l.c.QOC 7.4AMXAmérica Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V.QOC 7.4ADArray Digital Infrastructure, Inc.QOC 7.4KIMKimco Realty CorporationQOC 7.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: KD · APT · BP · AMX · AD · KIM · NVDA

Where Does BA Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

BA is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About The Boeing Company’s Valuation?

What is The Boeing Company's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts The Boeing Company (BA)'s intrinsic value at $160.17 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $79.71 to $277.37. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $209.82, 1 of 6 active models suggest BA may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $160.17, 23.7% below the current price of $209.82 — a consensus view that BA is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits The Boeing Company's business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for BA?

The Boeing Company's QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BA?

CirclFi analyzes BA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on BA?

Of the 6 models currently active on BA, First Chicago is the most bullish at $277.37 per share, and Sentiment SOTP is the most bearish at $79.71. CirclFi's published fair value for BA is the median of that range, $160.17, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 123% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is BA a value trap in 2026?

The Boeing Company's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, The Boeing Company (BA) has a median fair value of $160.17 — 23.7% below the current price of $209.82 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BA/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BA valuation
  • Financial statements: The Boeing Company 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000012927) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for BA as of ; valuations recomputed .

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