Kimco Realty Corporation (KIM) Fair Value 2026

KIM · REIT - Retail ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Kimco Realty Corporation (KIM) trades at $22.14, versus a $19.48 median fair value across its 8 active models — 12.0% below the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
KIM
Price
$22.14
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +6.7% upside with 45% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Kimco Realty Corporation (KIM) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Kimco Realty Corporation (KIM) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $19.48, 12.0% below the current price of $22.14. Estimates range from $0.22 to $23.61. KIM scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 17/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. KIM’s -12.0% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the REIT - Retail sector median is -37.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Kimco Realty Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give KIM?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($22.14)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $18.55 -16.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $19.13 -13.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $8.01 -63.8%
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $23.61 +6.7%
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What Is KIM's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $0.22 to $23.61

CirclFi's 8 active models place Kimco Realty Corporation (KIM) between $0.22 and $23.61 per share, a spread of 120% of the median. The median of that range — $19.48 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for KIM, against a current price of $22.14.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Regime Cross
$0.22median $19.48$23.61
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$0.22
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$23.61
Model agreement2 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for KIM. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on KIM, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Kimco Realty Corporation (KIM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Kimco Realty Corporation at its current price of $22.14. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $19.48 (-12.0% vs price), with 5 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $23.61 (+6.7%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $0.22 (-99.0%). This +105.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Kimco Realty Corporation's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About KIM?

8 of 13 models are currently active for KIM. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for KIM is $19.48 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does KIM Rank in REIT - Retail?

Among 26 REIT - Retail stocks, KIM ranks #18 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

Within the REIT - Retail space, Kimco Realty Corporation competes in an environment where gross margin expansion often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is KIM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KIM a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Kimco Realty Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Kimco Realty Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 7.4/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +105.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every KIM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across KIM's 8 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Kimco Realty Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Retail Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related REIT - Retail stocks with 13-model coverage

NNNNNN REIT, Inc.QOC 7.4CURBCurbline Properties Corp.QOC 7.3GTYGetty Realty Corp.QOC 7.5CBLCBL & Associates Properties, Inc.QOC 7.3IVTInvenTrust Properties Corp.QOC 7.5UEUrban Edge PropertiesQOC 7.2WHLRWheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc.QOC 6.3PECOPhillips Edison & Company, Inc.QOC 8.1KRGKite Realty Group TrustQOC 7.7FRTFederal Realty Investment TrustQOC 8.9EPRTEssential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.QOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: NNN · CURB · GTY · CBL · IVT · UE · WHLR · PECO · KRG · FRT · EPRT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to KIM?

7 companies across all industries closest to KIM’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

EVRGEvergy, Inc.QOC 7.4EPCEdgewell Personal Care CompanyQOC 7.4PEGPublic Service Enterprise Group IncorporatedQOC 7.4LTRXLantronix, Inc.QOC 7.4HSHPHimalaya Shipping Ltd.QOC 7.4BPBP p.l.c.QOC 7.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: EVRG · EPC · PEG · LTRX · HSHP · BP · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Kimco Realty Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Kimco Realty Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Kimco Realty Corporation (KIM)'s intrinsic value at $19.48 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $0.22 to $23.61. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is KIM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $22.14, 2 of 8 active models suggest KIM may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $19.48, 12.0% below the current price of $22.14 — a consensus view that KIM is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Kimco Realty Corporation's business model in REIT - Retail.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for KIM?

Kimco Realty Corporation's QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on KIM?

CirclFi analyzes KIM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on KIM?

Of the 8 models currently active on KIM, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $23.61 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $0.22. CirclFi's published fair value for KIM is the median of that range, $19.48, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 120% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is KIM a value trap in 2026?

Kimco Realty Corporation's Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Kimco Realty Corporation (KIM) has a median fair value of $19.48 — 12.0% below the current price of $22.14 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/KIM/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this KIM valuation
  • Financial statements: Kimco Realty Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000879101) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for KIM as of ; valuations recomputed .

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