GDS Holdings Limited (GDS) Fair Value 2026

GDS · Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, GDS Holdings Limited (GDS) trades at $32.80, approximately 156% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $12.81. QOC: 7.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GDS
Price
$32.80
Quality Score
7.9/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +3.3% upside with 51% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($32.80)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$12.81 -61.0%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$18.17 -44.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$17.36 -47.1%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$33.87 +3.3%

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What Is GDS Holdings Limited (GDS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, GDS Holdings Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at $16.03. Trading at its current price of $32.80, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -51.1%. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $33.87 (+3.3%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $0.69 (-97.9%). This +101.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about GDS Holdings Limited's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Markov DDM lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About GDS?

12 of 13 models are currently active for GDS. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GDS's intrinsic value at $12.81, implying -61.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GDS Rank in Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.?

Among 75 Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. stocks, GDS ranks #19 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.9 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. Stocks →

GDS Holdings Limited operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is GDS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GDS a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for GDS Holdings Limited. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, GDS Holdings Limited scores 7.9 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +101.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GDS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GDS's 12 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy GDS Holdings Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: GOOG · GOOGL · TTD · BZ · BIDU

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Frequently Asked Questions About GDS Holdings Limited

What is GDS Holdings Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, GDS Holdings Limited (GDS) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $12.81. The Quality of Company score is 7.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GDS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $32.80, 2 of 12 active models suggest GDS may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits GDS Holdings Limited's business model in Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc..

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.9 mean for GDS?

GDS Holdings Limited's QOC of 7.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GDS?

CirclFi analyzes GDS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is GDS a value trap in 2026?

GDS Holdings Limited's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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