N-able, Inc. (NABL) Fair Value 2026

NABL · Information Technology Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, N-able, Inc. (NABL) trades at $4.42, versus a $4.68 median fair value across its 10 active models — 5.8% above the current price. QOC: 7.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $11.71.

Key Facts

Ticker
NABL
Price
$4.42
Quality Score
7.5/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +165.0% upside with 73% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is N-able, Inc. (NABL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, N-able, Inc. (NABL) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $4.68, within 5.8% of the current price of $4.42. Estimates range from $0.64 to $11.71. NABL scores 7.5/10 on fundamental quality and 26/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. NABL’s +5.8% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Information Technology Services sector median is +5.3%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy N-able, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give NABL?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($4.42)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $11.71 +165.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.64 -85.5%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $5.13 +16.1%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $4.22 -4.5%
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What Is NABL's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $0.64 to $11.71

CirclFi's 10 active models place N-able, Inc. (NABL) between $0.64 and $11.71 per share, a spread of 237% of the median. The median of that range — $4.68 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for NABL, against a current price of $4.42.

Low · EPVHigh · Bayesian DCF
$0.64median $4.68$11.71
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$0.64
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$11.71
Model agreement5 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for NABL. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on NABL, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is N-able, Inc. (NABL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, N-able, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $4.68, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $4.42. While the median implied return is +5.8%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +250.5% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Bayesian DCF, places fair value at $11.71 (+165.0%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $0.64 (-85.5%). This +250.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about N-able, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About NABL?

10 of 13 models are currently active for NABL. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for NABL is $4.68 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $11.71 on its own, implying +165.0% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NABL Rank in Information Technology Services?

Among 87 Information Technology Services stocks, NABL ranks #29 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Information Technology Services Stocks →

Within the Information Technology Services space, N-able, Inc. competes in an environment where net revenue retention (NRR) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is NABL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NABL a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for N-able, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, N-able, Inc. is rated at 7.5/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +250.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NABL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NABL's 10 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy N-able, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Information Technology Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Information Technology Services stocks with 13-model coverage

ASFHAsiaFIN Holdings Corp.QOC 7.6FISFidelity National Information Services, Inc.QOC 7.4GLOBGlobant S.A.QOC 7.8GDSGDS Holdings LimitedQOC 7.4HCKTThe Hackett Group, Inc.QOC 7.9KDKyndryl Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.4VYXNCR Voyix CorporationQOC 5.9NOTEFiscalNote Holdings, Inc.QOC 4.4LDOSLeidos Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.9INODInnodata Inc.QOC 9.3ITGartner, Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: ASFH · FIS · GLOB · GDS · HCKT · KD · VYX · NOTE · LDOS · INOD · IT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to NABL?

7 companies across all industries closest to NABL’s Quality of Company score of 7.5/10.

USNAUSANA Health Sciences, Inc.QOC 7.5ABAllianceBernstein Holding L.P.QOC 7.5LNCLincoln National CorporationQOC 7.5SUNBSunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.5NANano Labs LtdQOC 7.5TKOTKO Group Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: USNA · AB · LNC · SUNB · NA · TKO · NVDA

Where Does NABL Sit in CirclFi's Information Technology Services Rankings?

NABL is ranked against every other Information Technology Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Information Technology Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About N-able, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is N-able, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts N-able, Inc. (NABL)'s intrinsic value at $4.68 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $0.64 to $11.71. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $11.71 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NABL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $4.42, 5 of 10 active models suggest NABL may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $4.68, within 5.8% of the current price of $4.42 — a consensus view that NABL is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits N-able, Inc.'s business model in Information Technology Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.5 mean for NABL?

N-able, Inc.'s QOC of 7.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NABL?

CirclFi analyzes NABL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on NABL?

Of the 10 models currently active on NABL, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $11.71 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $0.64. CirclFi's published fair value for NABL is the median of that range, $4.68, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 237% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is NABL a value trap in 2026?

N-able, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, N-able, Inc. (NABL) has a median fair value of $4.68 — within 5.8% of the current price of $4.42 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NABL/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this NABL valuation
  • Financial statements: N-able, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001834488) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for NABL as of ; valuations recomputed .

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