Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB) Fair Value 2026

SUNB · Rental & Leasing Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB) trades at $73.66, versus a $57.05 median fair value across its 11 active models — 22.5% below the current price. QOC: 7.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $75.49.

Key Facts

Ticker
SUNB
Price
$73.66
Quality Score
7.5/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +2.5% upside with 69% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $57.05, 22.5% below the current price of $73.66. Estimates range from $15.73 to $135.72. SUNB scores 7.5/10 on fundamental quality and 20/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. SUNB’s -22.5% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Rental & Leasing Services sector median is +2.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SUNB?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($73.66)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $75.49 +2.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $19.57 -73.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $57.05 -22.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $45.60 -38.1%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 7 additional models including EROIC Spread, ML-RIV, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 11 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is SUNB's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $15.73 to $135.72

CirclFi's 11 active models place Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB) between $15.73 and $135.72 per share, a spread of 210% of the median. The median of that range — $57.05 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SUNB, against a current price of $73.66.

Low · EROICHigh · Sentiment SOTP
$15.73median $57.05$135.72
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$15.73
Most bullish modelSentiment SOTP$135.72
Model agreement4 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SUNB. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SUNB, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $57.05, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $73.66. While the median implied return is -22.5%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +162.9% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Sentiment SOTP, places fair value at $135.72 (+84.2%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $15.73 (-78.6%). This +162.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About SUNB?

11 of 13 models are currently active for SUNB. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SUNB is $57.05 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $75.49 on its own, implying +2.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SUNB Rank in Rental & Leasing Services?

Among 23 Rental & Leasing Services stocks, SUNB ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.

Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is SUNB a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SUNB a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. scores 7.5 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +162.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SUNB valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SUNB's 11 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Rental & Leasing Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Rental & Leasing Services stocks with 13-model coverage

PRGPROG Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.6RRyder System, Inc.QOC 7.2WLFCWillis Lease Finance CorporationQOC 8.2EQPTEquipmentShare.com Inc.QOC 7.1AERAerCap Holdings N.V.QOC 8.2CTOSCustom Truck One Source, Inc.QOC 7.0HTZHertz Global Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.6VSTSVestis CorporationQOC 5.6URIUnited Rentals, Inc.QOC 8.6MGRCMcGrath RentCorpQOC 8.3

Read investment analysis: PRG · R · WLFC · EQPT · AER · CTOS · HTZ · VSTS · URI · MGRC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SUNB?

7 companies across all industries closest to SUNB’s Quality of Company score of 7.5/10.

RLJRLJ Lodging TrustQOC 7.5SGISomnigroup International Inc.QOC 7.5OLPOne Liberty Properties, Inc.QOC 7.5SIBNSI-BONE, Inc.QOC 7.5NOKNokia OyjQOC 7.5MICCThe Magnum Ice Cream Company N.V.QOC 7.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: RLJ · SGI · OLP · SIBN · NOK · MICC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB)'s intrinsic value at $57.05 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $15.73 to $135.72. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $75.49 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SUNB overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $73.66, 5 of 11 active models suggest SUNB may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $57.05, 22.5% below the current price of $73.66 — a consensus view that SUNB is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc.'s business model in Rental & Leasing Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.5 mean for SUNB?

Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc.'s QOC of 7.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SUNB?

CirclFi analyzes SUNB with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SUNB?

Of the 11 models currently active on SUNB, Sentiment SOTP is the most bullish at $135.72 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $15.73. CirclFi's published fair value for SUNB is the median of that range, $57.05, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 210% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SUNB a value trap in 2026?

Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB) has a median fair value of $57.05 — 22.5% below the current price of $73.66 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SUNB/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SUNB valuation
  • Financial statements: Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002083785) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SUNB as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 11 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on SUNB.

Unlock All 11 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

7 models hidden for SUNB Unlock All 11 — $39/mo