EquipmentShare.com Inc. (EQPT) Fair Value 2026

EQPT · Rental & Leasing Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (40/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, EquipmentShare.com Inc. (EQPT) trades at $18.30, versus a $14.52 median fair value across its 9 active models — 20.6% below the current price. QOC: 7.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 40/100 (WARN). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $1.96.

Key Facts

Ticker
EQPT
Price
$18.30
Quality Score
7.1/10
Value Trap Risk
40/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +202.7% upside with 44% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 40 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is EquipmentShare.com Inc. (EQPT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, EquipmentShare.com Inc. (EQPT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $14.52, 20.6% below the current price of $18.30. Estimates range from $1.96 to $55.39. EQPT scores 7.1/10 on fundamental quality and 40/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. EQPT’s -20.6% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Rental & Leasing Services sector median is +2.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy EquipmentShare.com Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give EQPT?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($18.30)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.96 -89.3%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $13.24 -27.7%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $55.39 +202.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $2.26 -87.7%
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What Is EQPT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $1.96 to $55.39

CirclFi's 9 active models place EquipmentShare.com Inc. (EQPT) between $1.96 and $55.39 per share, a spread of 368% of the median. The median of that range — $14.52 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for EQPT, against a current price of $18.30.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · First Chicago
$1.96median $14.52$55.39
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$1.96
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$55.39
Model agreement3 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for EQPT. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on EQPT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is EquipmentShare.com Inc. (EQPT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, EquipmentShare.com Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $14.52. Trading at $18.30, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -20.6%), as 5 of 9 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $55.39 (+202.7%), versus Bayesian DCF at $1.96 (-89.3%). This +292.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About EQPT?

9 of 13 models are currently active for EQPT. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for EQPT is $14.52 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $1.96 on its own, implying -89.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does EQPT Rank in Rental & Leasing Services?

Among 23 Rental & Leasing Services stocks, EQPT ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.1 indicates above-average quality.

EquipmentShare.com Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is EQPT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns EQPT a score of 40/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for EquipmentShare.com Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, EquipmentShare.com Inc. earns a quality score of 7.1/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency. Our Value Trap detector shows moderate caution signals worth monitoring.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +292.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every EQPT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across EQPT's 9 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy EquipmentShare.com Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Rental & Leasing Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Rental & Leasing Services stocks with 13-model coverage

RRyder System, Inc.QOC 7.2CTOSCustom Truck One Source, Inc.QOC 7.0SUNBSunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.5HRIHerc Holdings Inc.QOC 6.9PRGPROG Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.6HTZHertz Global Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.6WSCWillScot Holdings CorporationQOC 6.4ZCARZoomcar Holdings, Inc.QOC 4.6GATXGATX CorporationQOC 8.2URIUnited Rentals, Inc.QOC 8.6MGRCMcGrath RentCorpQOC 8.3

Read investment analysis: R · CTOS · SUNB · HRI · PRG · HTZ · WSC · ZCAR · GATX · URI · MGRC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to EQPT?

7 companies across all industries closest to EQPT’s Quality of Company score of 7.1/10.

NINENine Energy Service, Inc.QOC 7.1HFFGHF Foods Group Inc.QOC 7.1SAFESafehold Inc.QOC 7.1IRTCiRhythm Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.1HPHelmerich & Payne, Inc.QOC 7.1MASS908 Devices Inc.QOC 7.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NINE · HFFG · SAFE · IRTC · HP · MASS · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About EquipmentShare.com Inc.’s Valuation?

What is EquipmentShare.com Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts EquipmentShare.com Inc. (EQPT)'s intrinsic value at $14.52 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.96 to $55.39. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $1.96 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is EQPT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $18.30, 3 of 9 active models suggest EQPT may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $14.52, 20.6% below the current price of $18.30 — a consensus view that EQPT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits EquipmentShare.com Inc.'s business model in Rental & Leasing Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.1 mean for EQPT?

EquipmentShare.com Inc.'s QOC of 7.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on EQPT?

CirclFi analyzes EQPT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on EQPT?

Of the 9 models currently active on EQPT, First Chicago is the most bullish at $55.39 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $1.96. CirclFi's published fair value for EQPT is the median of that range, $14.52, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 368% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is EQPT a value trap in 2026?

EquipmentShare.com Inc.'s Value Trap score is 40/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, EquipmentShare.com Inc. (EQPT) has a median fair value of $14.52 — 20.6% below the current price of $18.30 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/EQPT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this EQPT valuation
  • Financial statements: EquipmentShare.com Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001693736) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for EQPT as of ; valuations recomputed .

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