What Is GATX Corporation (GATX) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, GATX Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $158.15. Trading at its current price of $180.34, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 11 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -12.3%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Bayesian DCF targets $485.79 (+169.4%), versus EROIC at $5.66 (-96.9%). This +266.2% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About GATX?
11 of 13 models are currently active for GATX. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GATX's intrinsic value at $485.79, implying +169.4% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does GATX Rank in Transportation Services?
Among 18 Transportation Services stocks, GATX ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places GATX in the top tier.
The Transportation Services sector introduces analytical considerations specific to transportation company businesses. For GATX Corporation, metrics like fleet electrification pace provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is GATX a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GATX a score of 16/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
11 of 13 models are active for GATX Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, GATX Corporation scores 8.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +266.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every GATX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across GATX's 11 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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