Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. (LIND) Fair Value 2026

LIND · Travel Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. (LIND) trades at $30.06, versus a $13.58 median fair value across its 6 active models — 54.8% below the current price. QOC: 7.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LIND
Price
$30.06
Quality Score
7.5/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: 6 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. (LIND) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. (LIND) appears overvalued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $13.58, 54.8% below the current price of $30.06. Estimates range from $7.36 to $27.33. LIND scores 7.5/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. LIND’s -54.8% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give LIND?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($30.06)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
$14.02 -53.4%
Scenario · High Conviction
$27.33 -9.1%
Relative · Medium Conviction
$12.24 -59.3%
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What Is LIND's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $7.36 to $27.33

CirclFi's 6 active models place Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. (LIND) between $7.36 and $27.33 per share, a spread of 147% of the median. The median of that range — $13.58 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for LIND, against a current price of $30.06.

Low · PWERMHigh · First Chicago
$7.36median $13.58$27.33
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelPWERM$7.36
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$27.33
Model agreement0 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for LIND. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on LIND, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. (LIND) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $13.58, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $30.06. With 6 out of 6 models flagging downside (-54.8% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at -9.1% (fair value: $27.33), while PWERM is the most conservative at -75.5% ($7.36). The spread between these extremes — +66.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About LIND?

6 of 13 models are currently active for LIND. All 6 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for LIND is $13.58 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LIND Rank in Travel Services?

Among 18 Travel Services stocks, LIND ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is LIND a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LIND a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.5/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +66.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LIND valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LIND's 6 active models, average confidence is 34%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Travel Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Travel Services stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: GBTG · NCLH · TNL · YTRA · TRIP · NTRP · NNAX · BKNG · RCL · ABNB · EXPE

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to LIND?

7 companies across all industries closest to LIND’s Quality of Company score of 7.5/10.

Read investment analysis: MNSB · SNY · IZEA · HMC · STC · TLK · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. (LIND)'s intrinsic value at $13.58 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $7.36 to $27.33. The Quality of Company score is 7.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LIND overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $30.06, 0 of 6 active models suggest LIND may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $13.58, 54.8% below the current price of $30.06 — a consensus view that LIND is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc.'s business model in Travel Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.5 mean for LIND?

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc.'s QOC of 7.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LIND?

CirclFi analyzes LIND with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on LIND?

Of the 6 models currently active on LIND, First Chicago is the most bullish at $27.33 per share, and PWERM is the most bearish at $7.36. CirclFi's published fair value for LIND is the median of that range, $13.58, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 147% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is LIND a value trap in 2026?

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. (LIND) has a median fair value of $13.58 — 54.8% below the current price of $30.06 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/LIND/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this LIND valuation

Market data for LIND as of ; valuations recomputed .

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