What Is Ryder System, Inc. (R) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ryder System, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $298.15. Trading at $268.06, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of +11.2%), as 8 of 12 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +369.0% (fair value: $1,257.29), while EROIC is the most conservative at -91.1% ($23.85). The spread between these extremes — +460.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About R?
12 of 13 models are currently active for R. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates R's intrinsic value at $120.83, implying -54.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does R Rank in Services-Auto Rental & Leasing (No Drivers)?
Among 5 Services-Auto Rental & Leasing (No Drivers) stocks, R ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.
Ryder System, Inc.'s positioning within the Services-Auto Rental & Leasing (No Drivers) segment means that units delivered plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including fleet renewal cycle — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is R a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns R a score of 10/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Ryder System, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ryder System, Inc. scores 7.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +460.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every R valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across R's 12 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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