Synaptics Incorporated (SYNA) Fair Value 2026

SYNA · Semiconductors ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Synaptics Incorporated (SYNA) trades at $97.59, versus a $87.93 median fair value across its 5 active models — 9.9% below the current price. QOC: 7.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 5/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $23.80.

Key Facts

Ticker
SYNA
Price
$97.59
Quality Score
7.2/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: 5 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Synaptics Incorporated (SYNA) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Synaptics Incorporated (SYNA) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $87.93, within 9.9% of the current price of $97.59. Estimates range from $19.00 to $289.40. SYNA scores 7.2/10 on fundamental quality and 20/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. SYNA’s -9.9% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Semiconductors sector median is -62.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Synaptics Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SYNA?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($97.59)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $23.80 -75.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $87.93 -9.9%
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What Is SYNA's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $19.00 to $289.40

CirclFi's 5 active models place Synaptics Incorporated (SYNA) between $19.00 and $289.40 per share, a spread of 308% of the median. The median of that range — $87.93 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SYNA, against a current price of $97.59.

Low · RCMH-DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$19.00median $87.93$289.40
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRCMH-DCF$19.00
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$289.40
Model agreement2 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SYNA. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SYNA, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Synaptics Incorporated (SYNA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Synaptics Incorporated at its current price of $97.59. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $87.93 (-9.9% vs price), with 3 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $289.40 (+196.5%), while RCMH-DCF — the most conservative — estimates $19.00 (-80.5%). This +277.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Synaptics Incorporated's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About SYNA?

5 of 13 models are currently active for SYNA. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SYNA is $87.93 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $23.80 on its own, implying -75.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SYNA Rank in Semiconductors?

Among 71 Semiconductors stocks, SYNA ranks #30 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.2 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Semiconductors Stocks →

Within the Semiconductors space, Synaptics Incorporated competes in an environment where average selling price (ASP) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is SYNA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SYNA a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Synaptics Incorporated. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Synaptics Incorporated is rated at 7.2/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +277.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SYNA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SYNA's 5 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Synaptics Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Semiconductors Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Semiconductors stocks with 13-model coverage

PIImpinj, Inc.QOC 7.4IMOSChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC.QOC 7.2SITMSiTime CorporationQOC 7.4SLABSilicon Laboratories Inc.QOC 7.2POWIPower Integrations, Inc.QOC 7.5CEVACEVA, Inc.QOC 7.1QUIKQuickLogic CorporationQOC 6.2STMSTMicroelectronics N.V.QOC 2.6AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.QOC 8.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0AVGOBroadcom Inc.QOC 9.8

Read investment analysis: PI · IMOS · SITM · SLAB · POWI · CEVA · QUIK · STM · AMD · NVDA · AVGO

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SYNA?

6 companies across all industries closest to SYNA’s Quality of Company score of 7.2/10.

AENTAlliance Entertainment Holding CorporationQOC 7.2MRPMillrose Properties, Inc.QOC 7.2CECelanese CorporationQOC 7.2CYDChina Yuchai International LimitedQOC 7.2SVVSavers Value Village, Inc.QOC 7.2USIOUsio, Inc.QOC 7.2

Read investment analysis: AENT · MRP · CE · CYD · SVV · USIO

Where Does SYNA Sit in CirclFi's Semiconductors Rankings?

SYNA is ranked against every other Semiconductors stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Semiconductors stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Synaptics Incorporated’s Valuation?

What is Synaptics Incorporated's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Synaptics Incorporated (SYNA)'s intrinsic value at $87.93 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $19.00 to $289.40. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $23.80 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SYNA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $97.59, 2 of 5 active models suggest SYNA may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $87.93, within 9.9% of the current price of $97.59 — a consensus view that SYNA is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Synaptics Incorporated's business model in Semiconductors.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.2 mean for SYNA?

Synaptics Incorporated's QOC of 7.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SYNA?

CirclFi analyzes SYNA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SYNA?

Of the 5 models currently active on SYNA, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $289.40 per share, and RCMH-DCF is the most bearish at $19.00. CirclFi's published fair value for SYNA is the median of that range, $87.93, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 308% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SYNA a value trap in 2026?

Synaptics Incorporated's Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Synaptics Incorporated (SYNA) has a median fair value of $87.93 — within 9.9% of the current price of $97.59 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SYNA/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SYNA valuation
  • Financial statements: Synaptics Incorporated 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000817720) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SYNA as of ; valuations recomputed .

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