Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. (FBIN) Fair Value 2026

FBIN · Building Products & Equipment ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. (FBIN) trades at $45.31, versus a $30.83 median fair value across its 12 active models — 32.0% below the current price. QOC: 7.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $11.49.

Key Facts

Ticker
FBIN
Price
$45.31
Quality Score
7.3/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +12.6% upside with 59% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. (FBIN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. (FBIN) appears overvalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $30.83, 32.0% below the current price of $45.31. Estimates range from $9.04 to $59.21. FBIN scores 7.3/10 on fundamental quality and 20/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. FBIN’s -32.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Building Products & Equipment sector median is -32.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give FBIN?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($45.31)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $11.49 -74.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $12.23 -73.0%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $28.67 -36.7%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $51.02 +12.6%
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What Is FBIN's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $9.04 to $59.21

CirclFi's 12 active models place Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. (FBIN) between $9.04 and $59.21 per share, a spread of 163% of the median. The median of that range — $30.83 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for FBIN, against a current price of $45.31.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · FTNN
$9.04median $30.83$59.21
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$9.04
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$59.21
Model agreement3 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for FBIN. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on FBIN, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. (FBIN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. at its current price of $45.31. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $30.83 (-32.0% vs price), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $59.21 (+30.7%), versus ML-RIV at $9.04 (-80.0%). This +110.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About FBIN?

12 of 13 models are currently active for FBIN. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for FBIN is $30.83 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $11.49 on its own, implying -74.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FBIN Rank in Building Products & Equipment?

Among 38 Building Products & Equipment stocks, FBIN ranks #25 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.3 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Building Products & Equipment space, Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. competes in an environment where book-to-bill ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is FBIN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FBIN a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. is rated at 7.3/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +110.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FBIN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FBIN's 12 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Building Products & Equipment Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Building Products & Equipment stocks with 13-model coverage

BLDRBuilders FirstSource, Inc.QOC 7.3OCOwens CorningQOC 7.2APTAlpha Pro Tech, Ltd.QOC 7.4NXQuanex Building Products CorporationQOC 6.8SWIMLatham Group, Inc.QOC 7.4INVEIdentiv, Inc.QOC 6.1MAIRMadison Air Solutions CorporationQOC 4.8LMBLimbach Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.8APOGApogee Enterprises, Inc.QOC 7.8TTTrane Technologies plcQOC 9.4LIILennox International Inc.QOC 9.4

Read investment analysis: BLDR · OC · APT · NX · SWIM · INVE · MAIR · LMB · APOG · TT · LII

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to FBIN?

7 companies across all industries closest to FBIN’s Quality of Company score of 7.3/10.

AORTArtivion, Inc.QOC 7.3BMRCBank of Marin BancorpQOC 7.3CWSTCasella Waste Systems, Inc.QOC 7.3SNOWSnowflake Inc.QOC 7.3SGHTSight Sciences, Inc.QOC 7.3HTGCHercules Capital, Inc.QOC 7.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: AORT · BMRC · CWST · SNOW · SGHT · HTGC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. (FBIN)'s intrinsic value at $30.83 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $9.04 to $59.21. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $11.49 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FBIN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $45.31, 4 of 12 active models suggest FBIN may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $30.83, 32.0% below the current price of $45.31 — a consensus view that FBIN is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc.'s business model in Building Products & Equipment.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.3 mean for FBIN?

Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc.'s QOC of 7.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FBIN?

CirclFi analyzes FBIN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on FBIN?

Of the 12 models currently active on FBIN, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $59.21 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $9.04. CirclFi's published fair value for FBIN is the median of that range, $30.83, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 163% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is FBIN a value trap in 2026?

Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. (FBIN) has a median fair value of $30.83 — 32.0% below the current price of $45.31 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/FBIN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this FBIN valuation
  • Financial statements: Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001519751) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for FBIN as of ; valuations recomputed .

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