Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited (TLX) Fair Value 2026

TLX · Pharmaceutical Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

3.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited (TLX) trades at $11.29, approximately 171% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $4.17. QOC: 3.5/10. 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TLX
Price
$11.29
Quality Score
3.5/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: 12 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 3.5/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited (TLX) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited (TLX) appears overvalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $2.36, 79.1% below the current price of $11.29. Estimates range from $0.61 to $13.19. TLX scores 3.5/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($11.29)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$4.17 -63.1%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
$1.36 -87.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$5.20 -54.0%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$1.03 -90.9%

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What Is Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited (TLX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at $4.28. Trading at its current price of $11.29, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 11 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -62.1%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Sentiment SOTP targets $13.19 (+16.8%), versus Dynamic NAV at $0.61 (-94.6%). This +111.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About TLX?

12 of 13 models are currently active for TLX. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TLX's intrinsic value at $4.17, implying -63.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TLX Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?

Among 431 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, TLX ranks #373 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 3.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 3.5 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →

The Pharmaceutical Preparations sector introduces analytical considerations specific to biopharma enterprise businesses. For Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited, metrics like clinical trial success rate provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is TLX a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for TLX. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited earns a quality score of 3.5/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +111.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TLX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TLX's 12 active models, average confidence is 18%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AZN · CPRX · HRMY · NVO · SIGA

See all Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited

What is Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited (TLX) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $4.17. The Quality of Company score is 3.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TLX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $11.29, 1 of 12 active models suggest TLX may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $2.36, 79.1% below the current price of $11.29 — a consensus view that TLX is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited's business model in Pharmaceutical Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 3.5 mean for TLX?

Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited's QOC of 3.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TLX?

CirclFi analyzes TLX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is TLX a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for TLX at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited (TLX) has a median fair value of $2.36 — 79.1% below the current price of $11.29 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TLX/ · Methodology

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