What Is AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on AGNC Investment Corp. at its current price of $11.18. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $10.83 (-3.1% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: ML-RIV targets $45.45 (+306.5%), versus EPV at $2.44 (-78.2%). This +384.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About AGNC?
12 of 13 models are currently active for AGNC. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AGNC's intrinsic value at $6.30, implying -43.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does AGNC Rank in REIT - Mortgage?
Among 11 REIT - Mortgage stocks, AGNC ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.1 indicates above-average quality.
As a real estate investment trust, AGNC Investment Corp. operates in a sector where debt-to-EBITDA is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating AGNC should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is AGNC a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AGNC a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for AGNC Investment Corp.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, AGNC Investment Corp.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.1/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +384.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every AGNC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across AGNC's 12 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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