What Is AGNC Investment Corp. - Deposit (AGNCM) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, AGNC Investment Corp. - Deposit's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $26.62. Trading at $25.12, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of +6.0%), as 7 of 11 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, ML-RIV sees the most upside at +337.2% (fair value: $109.83), while EPV is the most conservative at -69.3% ($7.72). The spread between these extremes — +406.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About AGNCM?
11 of 13 models are currently active for AGNCM. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AGNCM's intrinsic value at $17.36, implying -30.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does AGNCM Rank in REIT - Mortgage?
Among 11 REIT - Mortgage stocks, AGNCM ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.
AGNC Investment Corp. - Deposit's positioning within the REIT - Mortgage segment means that net asset value (NAV) premium/discount plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including rental rate escalation — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is AGNCM a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AGNCM a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
11 of 13 models are active for AGNC Investment Corp. - Deposit. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, AGNC Investment Corp. - Deposit scores 6.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +406.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every AGNCM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across AGNCM's 11 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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