ACRES Commercial Realty Corp. (ACR) Fair Value 2026

ACR · REIT - Mortgage ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, ACRES Commercial Realty Corp. (ACR) trades at $17.51. QOC: 7.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ACR
Price
$17.51
Quality Score
7.8/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +259.9% upside with 2% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (7/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($17.51)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$63.02 +259.9%
EROIC Spread
High Conviction
$12.31 -29.7%
Markov DDM
Medium Conviction
$25.82 +47.4%

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What Is ACRES Commercial Realty Corp. (ACR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $35.70. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $17.51 (implied upside of +103.9%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 4 of 7 bullish models. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +380.5% (fair value: $84.13), while Regime Cross is the most conservative at -34.1% ($11.55). The spread between these extremes — +414.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About ACR?

7 of 13 models are currently active for ACR. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ACR Rank in REIT - Mortgage?

Among 11 REIT - Mortgage stocks, ACR ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.

The REIT - Mortgage sector introduces analytical considerations specific to REIT businesses. For ACRES Commercial Realty Corp., metrics like same-property NOI growth provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is ACR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ACR a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, ACRES Commercial Realty Corp. earns a quality score of 7.8/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +414.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ACR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ACR's 7 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy ACRES Commercial Realty Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Mortgage Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related REIT - Mortgage stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.

What is ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, ACRES Commercial Realty Corp. (ACR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 7.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ACR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $17.51, 4 of 7 active models suggest ACR may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.'s business model in REIT - Mortgage.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.8 mean for ACR?

ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.'s QOC of 7.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ACR?

CirclFi analyzes ACR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ACR a value trap in 2026?

ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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