Hertz Global Holdings, Inc (HTZ) Fair Value 2026

HTZ · Services-Auto Rental & Leasing (No Drivers) ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (23/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Hertz Global Holdings, Inc (HTZ) trades at $1.84. QOC: 4.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 23/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
HTZ
Price
$1.84
Quality Score
4.7/10
Value Trap Risk
23/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Markov DDM suggests +263.9% upside with 28% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.7/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.84)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Markov DDM
Medium Conviction
$6.70 +263.9%
FTNN Topology
Low Conviction
$4.99 +171.3%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Hertz Global Holdings, Inc (HTZ) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. Trading at $1.84 against an estimated intrinsic value of $5.84, 2 of 2 active models flag meaningful upside of +217.6% on average. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $6.70 (+263.9%), while FTNN — the most conservative — estimates $4.99 (+171.3%). This +92.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Hertz Global Holdings, Inc's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About HTZ?

2 of 13 models are currently active for HTZ. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HTZ Rank in Services-Auto Rental & Leasing (No Drivers)?

Among 5 Services-Auto Rental & Leasing (No Drivers) stocks, HTZ ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.7 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc's positioning within the Services-Auto Rental & Leasing (No Drivers) segment means that units delivered plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including emerging market demand — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is HTZ a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HTZ a score of 23/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Hertz Global Holdings, Inc scores 4.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +92.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HTZ valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HTZ's 2 active models, average confidence is 20%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Hertz Global Holdings, Inc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Auto Rental & Leasing (No Drivers) Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

4 related Services-Auto Rental & Leasing (No Drivers) stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: R · CAR · UHAL · MRT

Frequently Asked Questions About Hertz Global Holdings, Inc

What is Hertz Global Holdings, Inc's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Hertz Global Holdings, Inc (HTZ) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 4.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HTZ overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.84, 2 of 2 active models suggest HTZ may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Hertz Global Holdings, Inc's business model in Services-Auto Rental & Leasing (No Drivers).

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.7 mean for HTZ?

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc's QOC of 4.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HTZ?

CirclFi analyzes HTZ with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is HTZ a value trap in 2026?

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc's Value Trap score is 23/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →