Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (HTZ) Fair Value 2026

HTZ · Rental & Leasing Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (19/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (HTZ) trades at $2.14, versus $12.65 from the Bayesian DCF — the only model with a usable estimate for HTZ. QOC: 6.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 19/100 (SAFE). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
HTZ
Price
$2.14
Quality Score
6.6/10
Value Trap Risk
19/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +491.2% upside with 62% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (1/13) may reduce confidence

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give HTZ?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.14)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $12.65 +491.2%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (HTZ) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Hertz Global Holdings, Inc.. Trading at $2.14 against an estimated intrinsic value of $12.65, 1 of 1 active models flag meaningful upside of +491.2% at the median.

What Do the Models Say About HTZ?

1 of 13 models are currently active for HTZ. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $12.65 on its own, implying +491.2% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HTZ Rank in Rental & Leasing Services?

Among 23 Rental & Leasing Services stocks, HTZ ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is HTZ a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HTZ a score of 19/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Hertz Global Holdings, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. scores 6.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HTZ valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HTZ's 1 active models, average confidence is 62%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Rental & Leasing Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Rental & Leasing Services stocks with 13-model coverage

HRIHerc Holdings Inc.QOC 6.9UHALU-Haul Holding CompanyQOC 6.5CTOSCustom Truck One Source, Inc.QOC 7.0WSCWillScot Holdings CorporationQOC 6.4EQPTEquipmentShare.com Inc.QOC 7.1CARAvis Budget Group, Inc.QOC 6.4LIMENeutron Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.7MWGMulti Ways Holdings LimitedQOC 2.7PRGPROG Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.6URIUnited Rentals, Inc.QOC 8.6MGRCMcGrath RentCorpQOC 8.3

Read investment analysis: HRI · UHAL · CTOS · WSC · EQPT · CAR · LIME · MWG · PRG · URI · MGRC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to HTZ?

7 companies across all industries closest to HTZ’s Quality of Company score of 6.6/10.

CSANCosan S.A.QOC 6.6CLWClearwater Paper CorporationQOC 6.6DLHCDLH Holdings Corp.QOC 6.6PESIPerma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc.QOC 6.6XPERXperi Inc.QOC 6.6TVTXTravere Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CSAN · CLW · DLHC · PESI · XPER · TVTX · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Hertz Global Holdings, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Hertz Global Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (HTZ). One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $12.65 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HTZ overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.14, 1 of 1 active models suggest HTZ may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Hertz Global Holdings, Inc.'s business model in Rental & Leasing Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.6 mean for HTZ?

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc.'s QOC of 6.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HTZ?

CirclFi analyzes HTZ with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is HTZ a value trap in 2026?

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 19/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (HTZ) a Quality of Company score of 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/HTZ/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this HTZ valuation
  • Financial statements: Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001657853) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for HTZ as of ; valuations recomputed .