What Is Avis Budget Group, Inc. (CAR) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Avis Budget Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $308.98. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $159.78 (implied upside of +93.4%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 7 of 11 bullish models. Notably, Sentiment SOTP sees the most upside at +446.3% (fair value: $872.92), while Regime Cross is the most conservative at -73.2% ($42.89). The spread between these extremes — +519.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About CAR?
11 of 13 models are currently active for CAR. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does CAR Rank in Services-Auto Rental & Leasing (No Drivers)?
Among 5 Services-Auto Rental & Leasing (No Drivers) stocks, CAR ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.
The Services-Auto Rental & Leasing (No Drivers) sector introduces analytical considerations specific to vehicle manufacturer businesses. For Avis Budget Group, Inc., metrics like EV mix percentage provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is CAR a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CAR a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
11 of 13 models are active for Avis Budget Group, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Avis Budget Group, Inc. earns a quality score of 6.5/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +519.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every CAR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across CAR's 11 active models, average confidence is 34%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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