Nano Labs Ltd (NA) Fair Value 2026

NA · Semiconductors & Related Devices ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (25/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Nano Labs Ltd (NA) trades at $2.22, versus a $3.66 median fair value across its 7 active models — 65.0% above the current price. QOC: 7.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 25/100 (LOW). 7/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $2.07.

Key Facts

Ticker
NA
Price
$2.22
Quality Score
7.6/10
Value Trap Risk
25/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: ML-RIV suggests +74.8% upside with 29% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (7/13) may reduce confidence

Is Nano Labs Ltd (NA) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Nano Labs Ltd (NA) appears undervalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $3.66, 65.0% above the current price of $2.22. Estimates range from $0.23 to $8.69. NA scores 7.6/10 on fundamental quality and 25/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. NA’s +65.0% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Nano Labs Ltd Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give NA?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.22)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Low Conviction
 $2.07 -6.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $3.58 +61.4%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $3.88 +74.8%
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What Is NA's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $0.23 to $8.69

CirclFi's 7 active models place Nano Labs Ltd (NA) between $0.23 and $8.69 per share, a spread of 231% of the median. The median of that range — $3.66 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for NA, against a current price of $2.22.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · PWERM
$0.23median $3.66$8.69
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$0.23
Most bullish modelPWERM$8.69
Model agreement5 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for NA. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on NA, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Nano Labs Ltd (NA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Nano Labs Ltd's intrinsic value is estimated at $3.66, suggesting a +65.0% median upside from the current price of $2.22. While 5 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 2 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $8.69 (+291.3%), versus Dynamic NAV at $0.23 (-89.8%). This +381.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About NA?

7 of 13 models are currently active for NA. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for NA is $3.66 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $2.07 on its own, implying -6.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NA Rank in Semiconductors & Related Devices?

Among 2 Semiconductors & Related Devices stocks, NA ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.

As a semiconductor company, Nano Labs Ltd operates in a sector where gross margin trajectory is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating NA should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is NA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NA a score of 25/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Nano Labs Ltd. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Nano Labs Ltd's fundamental quality profile registers 7.6/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +381.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NA's 7 active models, average confidence is 21%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Nano Labs Ltd Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Semiconductors & Related Devices Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

1 related Semiconductors & Related Devices stocks with 13-model coverage

PALXPalomino Laboratories Inc.QOC 5.0

Read investment analysis: PALX

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to NA?

7 companies across all industries closest to NA’s Quality of Company score of 7.6/10.

ECOOkeanis Eco Tankers Corp.QOC 7.6NCNACCO Industries, Inc.QOC 7.6WMKWeis Markets, Inc.QOC 7.6AKRAcadia Realty TrustQOC 7.6CSTMConstellium SEQOC 7.6ELEElemental Royalty CorporationQOC 7.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ECO · NC · WMK · AKR · CSTM · ELE · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Nano Labs Ltd’s Valuation?

What is Nano Labs Ltd's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Nano Labs Ltd (NA)'s intrinsic value at $3.66 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.23 to $8.69. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $2.07 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.22, 5 of 7 active models suggest NA may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $3.66, 65.0% above the current price of $2.22 — a consensus view that NA is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Nano Labs Ltd's business model in Semiconductors & Related Devices.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.6 mean for NA?

Nano Labs Ltd's QOC of 7.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NA?

CirclFi analyzes NA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on NA?

Of the 7 models currently active on NA, PWERM is the most bullish at $8.69 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $0.23. CirclFi's published fair value for NA is the median of that range, $3.66, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 231% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is NA a value trap in 2026?

Nano Labs Ltd's Value Trap score is 25/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Nano Labs Ltd (NA) has a median fair value of $3.66 — 65.0% above the current price of $2.22 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NA/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this NA valuation
  • Financial statements: Nano Labs Ltd 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001872302) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for NA as of ; valuations recomputed .

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