What Is Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Applied Materials, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $184.66, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $575.39. With 12 out of 13 models flagging downside (-67.9% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $569.58 (-1.0%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $12.72 (-97.8%). This +96.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Applied Materials, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About AMAT?
13 of 13 models are currently active for AMAT. All 13 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates AMAT's intrinsic value at $121.65, implying -78.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does AMAT Rank in Semiconductor Equipment & Materials?
Among 6 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, AMAT ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places AMAT in the top tier.
As a semiconductor industry, Applied Materials, Inc. operates in a sector where wafer utilization rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating AMAT should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is AMAT a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for AMAT. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Applied Materials, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Applied Materials, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 10.0/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +96.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every AMAT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across AMAT's 13 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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