What Is ASML Holding N.V. - New York Re (ASML) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, ASML Holding N.V. - New York Re's intrinsic value is estimated at $558.99, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $1,726.04. With 12 out of 13 models flagging downside (-67.6% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +2.4% (fair value: $1,768.13), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -98.6% ($24.81). The spread between these extremes — +101.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About ASML?
13 of 13 models are currently active for ASML. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ASML's intrinsic value at $299.88, implying -82.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ASML Rank in Special Industry Machinery, NEC?
Among 11 Special Industry Machinery, NEC stocks, ASML ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places ASML in the top tier.
Within the Special Industry Machinery, NEC space, ASML Holding N.V. - New York Re competes in an environment where book-to-bill ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is ASML a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ASML a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for ASML Holding N.V. - New York Re. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, ASML Holding N.V. - New York Re is rated at 10.0/10. This elite-tier score ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +101.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ASML valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ASML's 13 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad