PTC Inc. (PTC) Fair Value 2026

PTC · Software - Application ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, PTC Inc. (PTC) trades at $157.15, versus a $148.43 median fair value across its 10 active models — 5.5% below the current price. QOC: 9.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $201.06.

Key Facts

Ticker
PTC
Price
$157.15
Quality Score
9.8/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +30.0% upside with 62% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is PTC Inc. (PTC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, PTC Inc. (PTC) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $148.43, within 5.5% of the current price of $157.15. Estimates range from $44.89 to $228.23. PTC scores 9.8/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. PTC’s -5.5% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Software - Application sector median is -25.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy PTC Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give PTC?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($157.15)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $201.06 +27.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $44.89 -71.4%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $138.99 -11.6%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $204.34 +30.0%
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What Is PTC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $44.89 to $228.23

CirclFi's 10 active models place PTC Inc. (PTC) between $44.89 and $228.23 per share, a spread of 124% of the median. The median of that range — $148.43 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for PTC, against a current price of $157.15.

Low · EPVHigh · Regime Cross
$44.89median $148.43$228.23
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$44.89
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$228.23
Model agreement4 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for PTC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on PTC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is PTC Inc. (PTC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, PTC Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $148.43, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $157.15. While the median implied return is -5.5%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +116.7% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $228.23 (+45.2%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $44.89 (-71.4%). This +116.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about PTC Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About PTC?

10 of 13 models are currently active for PTC. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for PTC is $148.43 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $201.06 on its own, implying +27.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PTC Rank in Software - Application?

Among 263 Software - Application stocks, PTC ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.8 places PTC in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Application Stocks →

Within the Software - Application space, PTC Inc. competes in an environment where annual recurring revenue (ARR) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is PTC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PTC a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for PTC Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, PTC Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 9.8/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +116.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PTC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PTC's 10 active models, average confidence is 54%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy PTC Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Application Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Software - Application stocks with 13-model coverage

ADSKAutodesk, Inc.QOC 9.9PAYCPaycom Software, Inc.QOC 9.7AZA2Z Cust2Mate Solutions Corp.QOC 1.9ZMZoom Communications, Inc.QOC 9.6BIYABaiya International Group Inc.QOC 2.3PCTYPaylocity Holding CorporationQOC 9.6PERFPerfect Corp.QOC 8.1KCKingsoft Cloud Holdings LimitedQOC 6.7PSQHPSQ Holdings, Inc.QOC 4.9

Read investment analysis: ADSK · PAYC · AZ · ZM · BIYA · PCTY · PERF · KC · PSQH

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to PTC?

7 companies across all industries closest to PTC’s Quality of Company score of 9.8/10.

AVGOBroadcom Inc.QOC 9.8ASMLASML Holding N.V.QOC 9.7IRMDIRADIMED CORPORATIONQOC 9.8GILDGilead Sciences, Inc.QOC 9.7ANETArista Networks, Inc.QOC 9.8RACEFerrari N.V.QOC 9.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: AVGO · ASML · IRMD · GILD · ANET · RACE · NVDA

Where Does PTC Sit in CirclFi's Software - Application Rankings?

PTC is ranked against every other Software - Application stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Application stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About PTC Inc.’s Valuation?

What is PTC Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts PTC Inc. (PTC)'s intrinsic value at $148.43 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $44.89 to $228.23. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $201.06 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PTC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $157.15, 5 of 10 active models suggest PTC may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $148.43, within 5.5% of the current price of $157.15 — a consensus view that PTC is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits PTC Inc.'s business model in Software - Application.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.8 mean for PTC?

PTC Inc.'s QOC of 9.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PTC?

CirclFi analyzes PTC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on PTC?

Of the 10 models currently active on PTC, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $228.23 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $44.89. CirclFi's published fair value for PTC is the median of that range, $148.43, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 124% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is PTC a value trap in 2026?

PTC Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, PTC Inc. (PTC) has a median fair value of $148.43 — within 5.5% of the current price of $157.15 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PTC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this PTC valuation
  • Financial statements: PTC Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000857005) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for PTC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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