Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) Fair Value 2026

GILD · Drug Manufacturers - General ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) trades at $148.86, versus a $152.15 median fair value across its 10 active models — 2.2% above the current price. QOC: 9.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $174.93.

Key Facts

Ticker
GILD
Price
$148.86
Quality Score
9.7/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +78.0% upside with 65% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $152.15, within 2.2% of the current price of $148.86. Estimates range from $66.08 to $303.21. GILD scores 9.7/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. GILD’s +2.2% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Drug Manufacturers - General sector median is +29.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Gilead Sciences, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GILD?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($148.86)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $174.93 +17.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $66.08 -55.6%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $167.06 +12.2%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $265.01 +78.0%
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What Is GILD's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $66.08 to $303.21

CirclFi's 10 active models place Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) between $66.08 and $303.21 per share, a spread of 156% of the median. The median of that range — $152.15 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for GILD, against a current price of $148.86.

Low · EPVHigh · Regime Cross
$66.08median $152.15$303.21
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$66.08
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$303.21
Model agreement5 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for GILD. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on GILD, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Gilead Sciences, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $152.15, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $148.86. While the median implied return is +2.2%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +159.3% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $303.21 (+103.7%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $66.08 (-55.6%). This +159.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Gilead Sciences, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About GILD?

10 of 13 models are currently active for GILD. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for GILD is $152.15 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $174.93 on its own, implying +17.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GILD Rank in Drug Manufacturers - General?

Among 21 Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, GILD ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.7 places GILD in the top tier.

The Drug Manufacturers - General sector introduces analytical considerations specific to pharmaceutical industry businesses. For Gilead Sciences, Inc., metrics like clinical trial success rate provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is GILD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GILD a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Gilead Sciences, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Gilead Sciences, Inc. scores 9.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +159.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GILD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GILD's 10 active models, average confidence is 57%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Gilead Sciences, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Drug Manufacturers - General Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Drug Manufacturers - General stocks with 13-model coverage

NSRXNasus Pharma Ltd.QOC 2.7MRKMerck & Co., Inc.QOC 9.6NVSNovartis AGQOC 2.8LLYEli Lilly and CompanyQOC 9.4MDCXMedicus Pharma Ltd.QOC 4.0NVONovo Nordisk A/SQOC 9.3JNJJohnson & JohnsonQOC 9.0ABBVAbbVie Inc.QOC 7.6AMRNAmarin Corporation plcQOC 6.1

Read investment analysis: NSRX · MRK · NVS · LLY · MDCX · NVO · JNJ · ABBV · AMRN

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GILD?

7 companies across all industries closest to GILD’s Quality of Company score of 9.7/10.

ASMLASML Holding N.V.QOC 9.7HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.QOC 9.7PTCPTC Inc.QOC 9.8RACEFerrari N.V.QOC 9.7AVGOBroadcom Inc.QOC 9.8PAYCPaycom Software, Inc.QOC 9.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ASML · HOOD · PTC · RACE · AVGO · PAYC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Gilead Sciences, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Gilead Sciences, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD)'s intrinsic value at $152.15 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $66.08 to $303.21. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $174.93 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GILD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $148.86, 5 of 10 active models suggest GILD may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $152.15, within 2.2% of the current price of $148.86 — a consensus view that GILD is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Gilead Sciences, Inc.'s business model in Drug Manufacturers - General.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.7 mean for GILD?

Gilead Sciences, Inc.'s QOC of 9.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GILD?

CirclFi analyzes GILD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on GILD?

Of the 10 models currently active on GILD, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $303.21 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $66.08. CirclFi's published fair value for GILD is the median of that range, $152.15, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 156% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is GILD a value trap in 2026?

Gilead Sciences, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) has a median fair value of $152.15 — within 2.2% of the current price of $148.86 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GILD/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GILD valuation
  • Financial statements: Gilead Sciences, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000882095) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GILD as of ; valuations recomputed .

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