Amarin Corporation plc (AMRN) Fair Value 2026

AMRN · Drug Manufacturers - General ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (40/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Amarin Corporation plc (AMRN) trades at $14.70, approximately 100% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $7.34. QOC: 6.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 40/100 (WARN). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AMRN
Price
$14.70
Quality Score
6.0/10
Value Trap Risk
40/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +30.2% upside with 9% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 40 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($14.70)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$7.34 -50.0%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
$16.11 +9.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$19.14 +30.2%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$6.07 -58.7%

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What Is Amarin Corporation plc (AMRN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Amarin Corporation plc's intrinsic value is estimated at $18.25, suggesting a +24.2% average upside from the current price of $14.70. While 8 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 4 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $33.57 (+128.4%), versus ML-RIV at $3.01 (-79.5%). This +207.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About AMRN?

13 of 13 models are currently active for AMRN. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AMRN's intrinsic value at $7.34, implying -50.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AMRN Rank in Drug Manufacturers - General?

Among 3 Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, AMRN ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Amarin Corporation plc's positioning within the Drug Manufacturers - General segment means that clinical trial success rate plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including licensing and M&A optionality — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is AMRN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AMRN a score of 40/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Amarin Corporation plc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Amarin Corporation plc earns a quality score of 6.0/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +207.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AMRN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AMRN's 13 active models, average confidence is 24%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Amarin Corporation plc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Drug Manufacturers - General Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

2 related Drug Manufacturers - General stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AMGN · ABBV

Frequently Asked Questions About Amarin Corporation plc

What is Amarin Corporation plc's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Amarin Corporation plc (AMRN) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $7.34. The Quality of Company score is 6.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AMRN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $14.70, 8 of 13 active models suggest AMRN may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Amarin Corporation plc's business model in Drug Manufacturers - General.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.0 mean for AMRN?

Amarin Corporation plc's QOC of 6.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AMRN?

CirclFi analyzes AMRN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AMRN a value trap in 2026?

Amarin Corporation plc's Value Trap score is 40/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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