What Is Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Steven Madden, Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $36.67, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $42.36. With 11 out of 13 models flagging downside (-13.4% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +367.2% (fair value: $197.88), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -96.3% ($1.55). The spread between these extremes — +463.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About SHOO?
13 of 13 models are currently active for SHOO. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SHOO's intrinsic value at $26.55, implying -37.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does SHOO Rank in Footwear, (No Rubber)?
Among 5 Footwear, (No Rubber) stocks, SHOO ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places SHOO in the top tier.
Steven Madden, Ltd. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is SHOO a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SHOO a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Steven Madden, Ltd.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Steven Madden, Ltd. is rated at 8.3/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +463.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every SHOO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across SHOO's 13 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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