What Is On Holding AG (ONON) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, On Holding AG's intrinsic value is estimated at $19.08. Trading at its current price of $37.92, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 12 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -49.7%. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $36.48 (-3.8%), versus EPV at $2.78 (-92.7%). This +88.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Markov DDM lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About ONON?
13 of 13 models are currently active for ONON. All 13 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates ONON's intrinsic value at $29.74, implying -21.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ONON Rank in Rubber & Plastics Footwear?
Among 4 Rubber & Plastics Footwear stocks, ONON ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places ONON in the top tier.
On Holding AG operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is ONON a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ONON a score of 8/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for On Holding AG. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, On Holding AG scores 8.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +88.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ONON valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ONON's 13 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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