ACM Research, Inc. (ACMR) Fair Value 2026

ACMR · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, ACM Research, Inc. (ACMR) trades at $80.49, versus a $19.16 median fair value across its 8 active models — 76.2% below the current price. QOC: 8.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $4.27.

Key Facts

Ticker
ACMR
Price
$80.49
Quality Score
8.7/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.7/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is ACM Research, Inc. (ACMR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, ACM Research, Inc. (ACMR) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $19.16, 76.2% below the current price of $80.49. Estimates range from $4.27 to $127.28. ACMR scores 8.7/10 on fundamental quality and 24/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. ACMR’s -76.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Semiconductor Equipment & Materials sector median is -71.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy ACM Research, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ACMR?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($80.49)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $4.27 -94.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $20.83 -74.1%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $18.11 -77.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $20.21 -74.9%
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What Is ACMR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $4.27 to $127.28

CirclFi's 8 active models place ACM Research, Inc. (ACMR) between $4.27 and $127.28 per share, a spread of 642% of the median. The median of that range — $19.16 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ACMR, against a current price of $80.49.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$4.27median $19.16$127.28
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$4.27
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$127.28
Model agreement1 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ACMR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ACMR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is ACM Research, Inc. (ACMR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, ACM Research, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $19.16, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $80.49. With 7 out of 8 models flagging downside (-76.2% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $127.28 (+58.1%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $4.27 (-94.7%). This +152.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about ACM Research, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About ACMR?

8 of 13 models are currently active for ACMR. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ACMR is $19.16 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $4.27 on its own, implying -94.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ACMR Rank in Semiconductor Equipment & Materials?

Among 32 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, ACMR ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.7 places ACMR in the top tier.

As a semiconductor industry, ACM Research, Inc. operates in a sector where wafer utilization rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating ACMR should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is ACMR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ACMR a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for ACM Research, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, ACM Research, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.7/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +152.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ACMR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ACMR's 8 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy ACM Research, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Semiconductor Equipment & Materials Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks with 13-model coverage

PLABPhotronics, Inc.QOC 8.9SCIASCI Engineered Materials, Inc.QOC 8.4ACLSAxcelis Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.9VECOVeeco Instruments Inc.QOC 8.4CAMTCamtek Ltd.QOC 9.0QQnity Electronics, Inc.QOC 8.3KLICKulicke and Soffa Industries, Inc.QOC 7.8AXTIAXT, Inc.QOC 6.7ASMLASML Holding N.V.QOC 9.7KLACKLA CorporationQOC 9.8

Read investment analysis: PLAB · SCIA · ACLS · VECO · CAMT · Q · KLIC · AXTI · ASML · KLAC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ACMR?

7 companies across all industries closest to ACMR’s Quality of Company score of 8.7/10.

RGAReinsurance Group of America, IncorporatedQOC 8.7KAIKadant Inc.QOC 8.7PPGPPG Industries, Inc.QOC 8.7EWEdwards Lifesciences CorporationQOC 8.7SYYSysco CorporationQOC 8.7YOUClear Secure, Inc.QOC 8.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: RGA · KAI · PPG · EW · SYY · YOU · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About ACM Research, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is ACM Research, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts ACM Research, Inc. (ACMR)'s intrinsic value at $19.16 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $4.27 to $127.28. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $4.27 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ACMR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $80.49, 1 of 8 active models suggest ACMR may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $19.16, 76.2% below the current price of $80.49 — a consensus view that ACMR is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits ACM Research, Inc.'s business model in Semiconductor Equipment & Materials.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.7 mean for ACMR?

ACM Research, Inc.'s QOC of 8.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ACMR?

CirclFi analyzes ACMR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ACMR?

Of the 8 models currently active on ACMR, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $127.28 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $4.27. CirclFi's published fair value for ACMR is the median of that range, $19.16, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 642% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ACMR a value trap in 2026?

ACM Research, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, ACM Research, Inc. (ACMR) has a median fair value of $19.16 — 76.2% below the current price of $80.49 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ACMR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ACMR valuation
  • Financial statements: ACM Research, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001680062) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ACMR as of ; valuations recomputed .

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