What Is Axcelis Technologies, Inc. (ACLS) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Axcelis Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $62.32, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $136.56. With 10 out of 13 models flagging downside (-54.4% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $169.66 (+24.2%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $17.58 (-87.1%). This +111.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Axcelis Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About ACLS?
13 of 13 models are currently active for ACLS. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ACLS's intrinsic value at $62.07, implying -54.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ACLS Rank in Semiconductor Equipment & Materials?
Among 6 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, ACLS ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places ACLS in the top tier.
Within the Semiconductor Equipment & Materials space, Axcelis Technologies, Inc. competes in an environment where average selling price (ASP) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is ACLS a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ACLS a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Axcelis Technologies, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Axcelis Technologies, Inc. is rated at 10.0/10. This elite-tier score ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +111.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ACLS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ACLS's 13 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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