SmartKem, Inc. (SMTK) Fair Value 2026

SMTK · Semiconductors & Related Devices ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (32/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, SmartKem, Inc. (SMTK) trades at $0.20, approximately 22% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.26. QOC: 5.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 32/100 (LOW). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SMTK
Price
$0.20
Quality Score
5.5/10
Value Trap Risk
32/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +223.0% upside with 21% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (8/13) may reduce confidence

Is SmartKem, Inc. (SMTK) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, SmartKem, Inc. (SMTK) appears undervalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $0.35, 77.1% above the current price of $0.20. Estimates range from $0.01 to $0.65. SMTK scores 5.5/10 on fundamental quality and 32/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy SmartKem, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.20)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.26 +28.1%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$0.65 +223.0%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$0.38 +91.3%
Dynamic NAV
Medium Conviction
$0.39 +94.7%

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What Is SmartKem, Inc. (SMTK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, SmartKem, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $0.33. At a current market price of $0.20, 7 of 8 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting an average implied return of +64.8%. Notably, EPV sees the most upside at +223.0% (fair value: $0.65), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -93.7% ($0.01). The spread between these extremes — +316.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About SMTK?

8 of 13 models are currently active for SMTK. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SMTK's intrinsic value at $0.26, implying +28.1% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SMTK Rank in Semiconductors & Related Devices?

Among 82 Semiconductors & Related Devices stocks, SMTK ranks #57 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.5 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Semiconductors & Related Devices Stocks →

Within the Semiconductors & Related Devices space, SmartKem, Inc. competes in an environment where gross margin trajectory often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is SMTK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SMTK a score of 32/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for SmartKem, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, SmartKem, Inc. is rated at 5.5/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +316.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SMTK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SMTK's 8 active models, average confidence is 24%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy SmartKem, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Semiconductors & Related Devices Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Semiconductors & Related Devices stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CRDO · CRUS · MPWR · NVDA · NXPI

See all Semiconductors & Related Devices stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About SmartKem, Inc.

What is SmartKem, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, SmartKem, Inc. (SMTK) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.26. The Quality of Company score is 5.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SMTK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.20, 7 of 8 active models suggest SMTK may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $0.35, 77.1% above the current price of $0.20 — a consensus view that SMTK is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits SmartKem, Inc.'s business model in Semiconductors & Related Devices.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.5 mean for SMTK?

SmartKem, Inc.'s QOC of 5.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SMTK?

CirclFi analyzes SMTK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SMTK a value trap in 2026?

SmartKem, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 32/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, SmartKem, Inc. (SMTK) has a median fair value of $0.35 — 77.1% above the current price of $0.20 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SMTK/ · Methodology

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