Amtech Systems, Inc. (ASYS) Fair Value 2026

ASYS · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Amtech Systems, Inc. (ASYS) trades at $15.83, versus a $5.85 median fair value across its 7 active models — 63.0% below the current price. QOC: 6.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $4.76.

Key Facts

Ticker
ASYS
Price
$15.83
Quality Score
6.4/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: 7 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Amtech Systems, Inc. (ASYS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Amtech Systems, Inc. (ASYS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $5.85, 63.0% below the current price of $15.83. Estimates range from $4.26 to $55.00. ASYS scores 6.4/10 on fundamental quality and 24/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. ASYS’s -63.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Semiconductor Equipment & Materials sector median is -71.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Amtech Systems, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ASYS?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($15.83)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.76 -69.9%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $8.67 -45.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.26 -73.1%
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What Is ASYS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $4.26 to $55.00

CirclFi's 7 active models place Amtech Systems, Inc. (ASYS) between $4.26 and $55.00 per share, a spread of 867% of the median. The median of that range — $5.85 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ASYS, against a current price of $15.83.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$4.26median $5.85$55.00
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$4.26
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$55.00
Model agreement2 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ASYS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ASYS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Amtech Systems, Inc. (ASYS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Amtech Systems, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $5.85. Trading at $15.83, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -63.0%), as 5 of 7 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $55.00 (+247.4%), versus ML-RIV at $4.26 (-73.1%). This +320.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About ASYS?

7 of 13 models are currently active for ASYS. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ASYS is $5.85 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $4.76 on its own, implying -69.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ASYS Rank in Semiconductor Equipment & Materials?

Among 32 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, ASYS ranks #27 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.

Amtech Systems, Inc.'s positioning within the Semiconductor Equipment & Materials segment means that design win pipeline plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including automotive semiconductor content — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is ASYS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ASYS a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Amtech Systems, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Amtech Systems, Inc. earns a quality score of 6.4/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +320.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ASYS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ASYS's 7 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Amtech Systems, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Semiconductor Equipment & Materials Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks with 13-model coverage

AXTIAXT, Inc.QOC 6.7TRTTrio-Tech InternationalQOC 6.4ICHRIchor Holdings, Ltd.QOC 6.8UCTTUltra Clean Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.4COHUCohu, Inc.QOC 6.8SMTKSmartKem, Inc.QOC 6.2LRCXLam Research CorporationQOC 9.7SCIASCI Engineered Materials, Inc.QOC 8.4FORMFormFactor, Inc.QOC 7.8KLACKLA CorporationQOC 9.8ASMLASML Holding N.V.QOC 9.7

Read investment analysis: AXTI · TRT · ICHR · UCTT · COHU · SMTK · LRCX · SCIA · FORM · KLAC · ASML

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ASYS?

7 companies across all industries closest to ASYS’s Quality of Company score of 6.4/10.

SJMThe J. M. Smucker CompanyQOC 6.4WGSGeneDx Holdings Corp.QOC 6.4ASPNAspen Aerogels, Inc.QOC 6.4LCUTLifetime Brands, Inc.QOC 6.4CAGConagra Brands, Inc.QOC 6.4PTGXProtagonist Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SJM · WGS · ASPN · LCUT · CAG · PTGX · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Amtech Systems, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Amtech Systems, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Amtech Systems, Inc. (ASYS)'s intrinsic value at $5.85 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $4.26 to $55.00. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $4.76 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ASYS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $15.83, 2 of 7 active models suggest ASYS may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $5.85, 63.0% below the current price of $15.83 — a consensus view that ASYS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Amtech Systems, Inc.'s business model in Semiconductor Equipment & Materials.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.4 mean for ASYS?

Amtech Systems, Inc.'s QOC of 6.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ASYS?

CirclFi analyzes ASYS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ASYS?

Of the 7 models currently active on ASYS, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $55.00 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $4.26. CirclFi's published fair value for ASYS is the median of that range, $5.85, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 867% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ASYS a value trap in 2026?

Amtech Systems, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Amtech Systems, Inc. (ASYS) has a median fair value of $5.85 — 63.0% below the current price of $15.83 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ASYS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ASYS valuation
  • Financial statements: Amtech Systems, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000720500) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ASYS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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