Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) Fair Value 2026

MHK · Carpets & Rugs ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) trades at $109.92, approximately 32% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $83.46. QOC: 8.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MHK
Price
$109.92
Quality Score
8.0/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +22.6% upside with 67% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($109.92)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $83.46 -24.1%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $134.77 +22.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Medium Conviction
 $105.13 -4.4%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $85.50 -22.2%

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What Is Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Mohawk Industries, Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $109.92. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $103.05 (-6.2% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 5 bullish models and 7 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: ML-RIV targets $174.83 (+59.1%), versus Markov DDM at $33.37 (-69.6%). This +128.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About MHK?

13 of 13 models are currently active for MHK. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MHK's intrinsic value at $83.46, implying -24.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MHK Rank in Carpets & Rugs?

Among 2 Carpets & Rugs stocks, MHK ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.0 places MHK in the top tier.

Mohawk Industries, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is MHK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MHK a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Mohawk Industries, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Mohawk Industries, Inc. earns a quality score of 8.0/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +128.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MHK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MHK's 13 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Mohawk Industries, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Carpets & Rugs Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

1 related Carpets & Rugs stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About Mohawk Industries, Inc.

What is Mohawk Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $83.46. The Quality of Company score is 8.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MHK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $109.92, 5 of 13 active models suggest MHK may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Mohawk Industries, Inc.'s business model in Carpets & Rugs.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.0 mean for MHK?

Mohawk Industries, Inc.'s QOC of 8.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MHK?

CirclFi analyzes MHK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is MHK a value trap in 2026?

Mohawk Industries, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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