What Is Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. at its current price of $15.66. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $14.79 (-5.5% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $47.25 (+201.7%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $0.60 (-96.1%). This +297.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About SWBI?
13 of 13 models are currently active for SWBI. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SWBI's intrinsic value at $14.42, implying -7.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does SWBI Rank in Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles)?
Among 5 Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles) stocks, SWBI ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.
As a automotive sector, Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. operates in a sector where inventory days supply is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating SWBI should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is SWBI a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SWBI a score of 27/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.8/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +297.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every SWBI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across SWBI's 13 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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