What Is Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Axon Enterprise, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $103.51. Trading at its current price of $547.03, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 12 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -81.1%. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +5.2% (fair value: $575.55), while Sentiment SOTP is the most conservative at -99.2% ($4.58). The spread between these extremes — +104.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About AXON?
13 of 13 models are currently active for AXON. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AXON's intrinsic value at $22.67, implying -95.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does AXON Rank in Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles)?
Among 5 Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles) stocks, AXON ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.2 places AXON in the top tier.
The Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles) sector introduces analytical considerations specific to vehicle manufacturer businesses. For Axon Enterprise, Inc., metrics like warranty cost ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is AXON a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AXON a score of 11/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Axon Enterprise, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Axon Enterprise, Inc. scores 9.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +104.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every AXON valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across AXON's 13 active models, average confidence is 36%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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